Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Denver's April 7 high temperature in the 68-73°F range, mirroring the closely matched market-implied probabilities across 66-75°F outcomes that capture over 80% trader consensus. This positioning stems from a recent shift after March 2026's record heat wave, with a building upper-level ridge over the Rockies promoting mild advection of Pacific air and above-normal highs relative to the 61°F climatological normal, tempered by dry conditions and light winds. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover from weak shortwave disturbances—favoring fuller sunshine for 70-73°F versus partial obscuration dropping to 66-69°F—and diurnal boundary layer heating efficiency. New 12Z model runs and NWS updates expected Sunday could refine these uncertainties ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on April 7?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 7?
68-69°F 25%
70-71°F 21%
72-73°F 19%
66-67°F 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 abr 2026
63°F or below
6%
64-65°F
16%
66-67°F
20%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
21%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
1%
68-69°F 25%
70-71°F 21%
72-73°F 19%
66-67°F 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 abr 2026
63°F or below
$312 Vol.
6%
64-65°F
$44 Vol.
16%
66-67°F
$9 Vol.
20%
68-69°F
$36 Vol.
25%
70-71°F
$60 Vol.
21%
72-73°F
$9 Vol.
19%
74-75°F
$11 Vol.
14%
76-77°F
$25 Vol.
5%
78-79°F
$47 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$260 Vol.
1%
82°F or higher
$186 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Denver's April 7 high temperature in the 68-73°F range, mirroring the closely matched market-implied probabilities across 66-75°F outcomes that capture over 80% trader consensus. This positioning stems from a recent shift after March 2026's record heat wave, with a building upper-level ridge over the Rockies promoting mild advection of Pacific air and above-normal highs relative to the 61°F climatological normal, tempered by dry conditions and light winds. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover from weak shortwave disturbances—favoring fuller sunshine for 70-73°F versus partial obscuration dropping to 66-69°F—and diurnal boundary layer heating efficiency. New 12Z model runs and NWS updates expected Sunday could refine these uncertainties ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 3, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
Volumen
$999Fecha de finalización
7 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 6:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Denver's April 7 high temperature in the 68-73°F range, mirroring the closely matched market-implied probabilities across 66-75°F outcomes that capture over 80% trader consensus. This positioning stems from a recent shift after March 2026's record heat wave, with a building upper-level ridge over the Rockies promoting mild advection of Pacific air and above-normal highs relative to the 61°F climatological normal, tempered by dry conditions and light winds. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover from weak shortwave disturbances—favoring fuller sunshine for 70-73°F versus partial obscuration dropping to 66-69°F—and diurnal boundary layer heating efficiency. New 12Z model runs and NWS updates expected Sunday could refine these uncertainties ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$999Fecha de finalización
7 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 6:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Denver's April 7 high temperature in the 68-73°F range, mirroring the closely matched market-implied probabilities across 66-75°F outcomes that capture over 80% trader consensus. This positioning stems from a recent shift after March 2026's record heat wave, with a building upper-level ridge over the Rockies promoting mild advection of Pacific air and above-normal highs relative to the 61°F climatological normal, tempered by dry conditions and light winds. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover from weak shortwave disturbances—favoring fuller sunshine for 70-73°F versus partial obscuration dropping to 66-69°F—and diurnal boundary layer heating efficiency. New 12Z model runs and NWS updates expected Sunday could refine these uncertainties ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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