Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a high of 16°C at Incheon International Airport on April 5 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and 20% afternoon precipitation chance, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 11–14°C outcomes, reflecting the past 48 hours' convergence in GFS and ECMWF model ensembles toward cooler maxima after earlier warmer runs. This shift stems from anticipated increased cloud cover capping solar heating and subtle cold air advection in the boundary layer, amid typical early April variability (±2–3°C) around Seoul's climatological average of 13°C. Key differentiators include model spread on cloud fraction and wind persistence; watch tomorrow's 00Z updates from NOAA and ECMWF for potential refinements as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seoul on April 5?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 5?
12°C 22%
13°C 19%
11°C 16%
14°C 16%
NUEVO
$22,888 Vol.
NUEVO
$22,888 Vol.
5 abr 2026
6°C or below
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
5%
11°C
16%
12°C
22%
13°C
19%
14°C
16%
15°C
9%
16°C or higher
12%
12°C 22%
13°C 19%
11°C 16%
14°C 16%
NUEVO
$22,888 Vol.
NUEVO
$22,888 Vol.
5 abr 2026
6°C or below
$2,102 Vol.
1%
7°C
$2,134 Vol.
1%
8°C
$2,118 Vol.
1%
9°C
$1,713 Vol.
2%
10°C
$2,580 Vol.
5%
11°C
$2,555 Vol.
16%
12°C
$1,544 Vol.
22%
13°C
$1,489 Vol.
19%
14°C
$1,454 Vol.
16%
15°C
$2,122 Vol.
9%
16°C or higher
$3,078 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a high of 16°C at Incheon International Airport on April 5 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and 20% afternoon precipitation chance, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 11–14°C outcomes, reflecting the past 48 hours' convergence in GFS and ECMWF model ensembles toward cooler maxima after earlier warmer runs. This shift stems from anticipated increased cloud cover capping solar heating and subtle cold air advection in the boundary layer, amid typical early April variability (±2–3°C) around Seoul's climatological average of 13°C. Key differentiators include model spread on cloud fraction and wind persistence; watch tomorrow's 00Z updates from NOAA and ECMWF for potential refinements as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volumen
$22,888Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a high of 16°C at Incheon International Airport on April 5 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and 20% afternoon precipitation chance, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 11–14°C outcomes, reflecting the past 48 hours' convergence in GFS and ECMWF model ensembles toward cooler maxima after earlier warmer runs. This shift stems from anticipated increased cloud cover capping solar heating and subtle cold air advection in the boundary layer, amid typical early April variability (±2–3°C) around Seoul's climatological average of 13°C. Key differentiators include model spread on cloud fraction and wind persistence; watch tomorrow's 00Z updates from NOAA and ECMWF for potential refinements as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$22,888Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a high of 16°C at Incheon International Airport on April 5 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and 20% afternoon precipitation chance, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 11–14°C outcomes, reflecting the past 48 hours' convergence in GFS and ECMWF model ensembles toward cooler maxima after earlier warmer runs. This shift stems from anticipated increased cloud cover capping solar heating and subtle cold air advection in the boundary layer, amid typical early April variability (±2–3°C) around Seoul's climatological average of 13°C. Key differentiators include model spread on cloud fraction and wind persistence; watch tomorrow's 00Z updates from NOAA and ECMWF for potential refinements as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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