Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest 36.5% implied probability for Dallas's highest temperature on April 4 reaching 67°F or below, reflecting National Weather Service short-range forecasts showing increased cloud cover and scattered showers from a weak frontal system lingering after recent North Texas volatility—including a major blizzard March 13-17 and record 95°F heat on March 23. Mid-70s outcomes (72-73°F at 26%, 74-75°F at 25%) lead alternatives, aligning with ensemble model consensus for highs near 70-75°F amid southerly flow modulated by lingering upper-level troughing, below the April climatological normal of 76°F. Above-normal spring temperature outlooks from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center add upward pressure on warmer bins like 84-85°F (13%), but uncertainty persists with daily forecast updates expected through April 2; resolution hinges on official DFW Airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Dallas on April 4?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 4?
72-73°F 26%
74-75°F 22%
67°F or below 20%
76-77°F 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
67°F or below
20%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
18%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
15%
84-85°F
13%
86°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 26%
74-75°F 22%
67°F or below 20%
76-77°F 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
67°F or below
$5 Vol.
20%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
18%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
18%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
26%
74-75°F
$10 Vol.
25%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
20%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
19%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
18%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
15%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
13%
86°F or higher
$345 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest 36.5% implied probability for Dallas's highest temperature on April 4 reaching 67°F or below, reflecting National Weather Service short-range forecasts showing increased cloud cover and scattered showers from a weak frontal system lingering after recent North Texas volatility—including a major blizzard March 13-17 and record 95°F heat on March 23. Mid-70s outcomes (72-73°F at 26%, 74-75°F at 25%) lead alternatives, aligning with ensemble model consensus for highs near 70-75°F amid southerly flow modulated by lingering upper-level troughing, below the April climatological normal of 76°F. Above-normal spring temperature outlooks from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center add upward pressure on warmer bins like 84-85°F (13%), but uncertainty persists with daily forecast updates expected through April 2; resolution hinges on official DFW Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Volumen
$360Fecha de finalización
Apr 4, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest 36.5% implied probability for Dallas's highest temperature on April 4 reaching 67°F or below, reflecting National Weather Service short-range forecasts showing increased cloud cover and scattered showers from a weak frontal system lingering after recent North Texas volatility—including a major blizzard March 13-17 and record 95°F heat on March 23. Mid-70s outcomes (72-73°F at 26%, 74-75°F at 25%) lead alternatives, aligning with ensemble model consensus for highs near 70-75°F amid southerly flow modulated by lingering upper-level troughing, below the April climatological normal of 76°F. Above-normal spring temperature outlooks from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center add upward pressure on warmer bins like 84-85°F (13%), but uncertainty persists with daily forecast updates expected through April 2; resolution hinges on official DFW Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$360Fecha de finalización
Apr 4, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest 36.5% implied probability for Dallas's highest temperature on April 4 reaching 67°F or below, reflecting National Weather Service short-range forecasts showing increased cloud cover and scattered showers from a weak frontal system lingering after recent North Texas volatility—including a major blizzard March 13-17 and record 95°F heat on March 23. Mid-70s outcomes (72-73°F at 26%, 74-75°F at 25%) lead alternatives, aligning with ensemble model consensus for highs near 70-75°F amid southerly flow modulated by lingering upper-level troughing, below the April climatological normal of 76°F. Above-normal spring temperature outlooks from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center add upward pressure on warmer bins like 84-85°F (13%), but uncertainty persists with daily forecast updates expected through April 2; resolution hinges on official DFW Airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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