Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the National Weather Service's latest guidance forecasting Dallas highs in the low to mid-80s°F on March 30, driven by a warming ridge and southerly winds following March 28's cooler 57°F maximum amid recent frontal passage remnants. Closely matched probabilities for 82-83°F (24%), 84-85°F (26%), and 86-87°F (20%) stem from ensemble model spread—GFS leaning slightly warmer with peak afternoon heating potential, while ECMWF shows minor cloudiness risks capping peaks—against a March climatological average of 69°F. Upper-air subsidence favors highs above normal, but timing of peak solar insolation and any diurnally driven cumulus could differentiate outcomes; official DFW Airport observations will resolve by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Dallas on March 30?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 30?
84-85°F 30%
82-83°F 23.7%
86-87°F 21.9%
80-81°F 11%
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
22%
88-89°F
9%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 30%
82-83°F 23.7%
86-87°F 21.9%
80-81°F 11%
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
22%
88-89°F
9%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the National Weather Service's latest guidance forecasting Dallas highs in the low to mid-80s°F on March 30, driven by a warming ridge and southerly winds following March 28's cooler 57°F maximum amid recent frontal passage remnants. Closely matched probabilities for 82-83°F (24%), 84-85°F (26%), and 86-87°F (20%) stem from ensemble model spread—GFS leaning slightly warmer with peak afternoon heating potential, while ECMWF shows minor cloudiness risks capping peaks—against a March climatological average of 69°F. Upper-air subsidence favors highs above normal, but timing of peak solar insolation and any diurnally driven cumulus could differentiate outcomes; official DFW Airport observations will resolve by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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