Met Office's latest forecast projects a sunny high of 22°C in London on April 8 under light easterly breezes and near-zero precipitation risk, closely aligning with BBC Weather's 21°C estimate amid sunny intervals, driving trader consensus with 33.5% implied probability for 22°C, 28.5% for 21°C, and 25.5% for 23°C. This warm spike follows an unsettled early April with rain and cooler highs around 13-15°C through April 6-7, as a high-pressure ridge ushers subsidence, clear skies, and enhanced solar insolation above the seasonal average of 13-14°C. Differentiating factors include model ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS—typically 1-2°C variance due to potential thin cloud or ridge positioning—with daily updates over the next 48 hours likely to sharpen resolution near peak afternoon hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in London on April 8?
Highest temperature in London on April 8?
22°C 34%
21°C 30%
23°C 25%
20°C 8%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
8%
21°C
30%
22°C
34%
23°C
25%
24°C or higher
7%
22°C 34%
21°C 30%
23°C 25%
20°C 8%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
8%
21°C
30%
22°C
34%
23°C
25%
24°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 4, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Met Office's latest forecast projects a sunny high of 22°C in London on April 8 under light easterly breezes and near-zero precipitation risk, closely aligning with BBC Weather's 21°C estimate amid sunny intervals, driving trader consensus with 33.5% implied probability for 22°C, 28.5% for 21°C, and 25.5% for 23°C. This warm spike follows an unsettled early April with rain and cooler highs around 13-15°C through April 6-7, as a high-pressure ridge ushers subsidence, clear skies, and enhanced solar insolation above the seasonal average of 13-14°C. Differentiating factors include model ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS—typically 1-2°C variance due to potential thin cloud or ridge positioning—with daily updates over the next 48 hours likely to sharpen resolution near peak afternoon hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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