Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around a 26–27°C high in Taipei on April 5, driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projecting 26°C amid partly cloudy skies with occasional showers that could cap daytime heating. Ensemble guidance from global models like GFS and ECMWF shows a narrow spread near these values, influenced by lingering spring frontal activity and moderate humidity suppressing stronger warming. Historical April highs at Taipei station average 26°C, with recent days featuring highs of 24–26°C under similar variable conditions. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability and shower timing, which may limit solar insolation; watch CWA's daily updates and 12Z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution based on official station observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on April 5?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 5?
26°C 26%
27°C 23%
28°C 18%
29°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 abr 2026
22°C or below
6%
23°C
9%
24°C
8%
25°C
10%
26°C
26%
27°C
23%
28°C
18%
29°C
12%
30°C
7%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
5%
26°C 26%
27°C 23%
28°C 18%
29°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 abr 2026
22°C or below
$58 Vol.
6%
23°C
$31 Vol.
9%
24°C
$118 Vol.
8%
25°C
$37 Vol.
10%
26°C
$39 Vol.
26%
27°C
$62 Vol.
23%
28°C
$68 Vol.
18%
29°C
$36 Vol.
12%
30°C
$29 Vol.
7%
31°C
$26 Vol.
5%
32°C or higher
$106 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around a 26–27°C high in Taipei on April 5, driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projecting 26°C amid partly cloudy skies with occasional showers that could cap daytime heating. Ensemble guidance from global models like GFS and ECMWF shows a narrow spread near these values, influenced by lingering spring frontal activity and moderate humidity suppressing stronger warming. Historical April highs at Taipei station average 26°C, with recent days featuring highs of 24–26°C under similar variable conditions. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability and shower timing, which may limit solar insolation; watch CWA's daily updates and 12Z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution based on official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Volumen
$609Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around a 26–27°C high in Taipei on April 5, driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projecting 26°C amid partly cloudy skies with occasional showers that could cap daytime heating. Ensemble guidance from global models like GFS and ECMWF shows a narrow spread near these values, influenced by lingering spring frontal activity and moderate humidity suppressing stronger warming. Historical April highs at Taipei station average 26°C, with recent days featuring highs of 24–26°C under similar variable conditions. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability and shower timing, which may limit solar insolation; watch CWA's daily updates and 12Z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution based on official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$609Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around a 26–27°C high in Taipei on April 5, driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projecting 26°C amid partly cloudy skies with occasional showers that could cap daytime heating. Ensemble guidance from global models like GFS and ECMWF shows a narrow spread near these values, influenced by lingering spring frontal activity and moderate humidity suppressing stronger warming. Historical April highs at Taipei station average 26°C, with recent days featuring highs of 24–26°C under similar variable conditions. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability and shower timing, which may limit solar insolation; watch CWA's daily updates and 12Z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution based on official station observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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