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¿La temperatura más alta en Toronto el 1 de abril?

Market icon

¿La temperatura más alta en Toronto el 1 de abril?

Mar 30

Mar 31

Apr 1

Apr 2

Mar 30

Mar 31

Apr 1

Apr 2

14°C o más 66%

13°C 21%

11°C 18%

8°C 7.9%

Polymarket
NEW

14°C o más 66%

13°C 21%

11°C 18%

8°C 7.9%

Polymarket
NEW

4°C o menos

$406 Vol.

1%

5°C

$49 Vol.

2%

6°C

$35 Vol.

3%

7°C

$75 Vol.

4%

8°C

$77 Vol.

8%

9°C

$37 Vol.

8%

10°C

$26 Vol.

9%

11°C

$21 Vol.

13%

12°C

$10 Vol.

15%

13°C

$26 Vol.

21%

14°C o más

$193 Vol.

66%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment favors 14°C or higher (65.5% implied probability) for Toronto's highest temperature on April 1, driven by recent long-range forecasts from the Old Farmer's Almanac, released mid-March 2026, predicting rainy but warm conditions across southern Ontario from April 1-8—above the typical early April high of around 9-11°C near Toronto Pearson International Airport. This optimism aligns with Environment and Climate Change Canada's outlook for 2026 as one of Canada's hottest years on record, potentially amplifying mild air advection from southerly flows amid weakening high-pressure blocks. However, the current Environment Canada 7-day guidance calls for cloudy skies with a high near 9°C, highlighting inherent spring forecast uncertainty; traders await Canadian Meteorological Centre model updates over the next 48 hours, which could refine ensemble consensus on intensification potential or steering patterns.

Trader sentiment favors 14°C or higher (65.5% implied probability) for Toronto's highest temperature on April 1, driven by recent long-range forecasts from the Old Farmer's Almanac, released mid-March 2026, predicting rainy but warm conditions across southern Ontario from April 1-8—above the typical early April high of around 9-11°C near Toronto Pearson International Airport. This optimism aligns with Environment and Climate Change Canada's outlook for 2026 as one of Canada's hottest years on record, potentially amplifying mild air advection from southerly flows amid weakening high-pressure blocks. However, the current Environment Canada 7-day guidance calls for cloudy skies with a high near 9°C, highlighting inherent spring forecast uncertainty; traders await Canadian Meteorological Centre model updates over the next 48 hours, which could refine ensemble consensus on intensification potential or steering patterns.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment favors 14°C or higher (65.5% implied probability) for Toronto's highest temperature on April 1, driven by recent long-range forecasts from the Old Farmer's Almanac, released mid-March 2026, predicting rainy but warm conditions across southern Ontario from April 1-8—above the typical early April high of around 9-11°C near Toronto Pearson International Airport. This optimism aligns with Environment and Climate Change Canada's outlook for 2026 as one of Canada's hottest years on record, potentially amplifying mild air advection from southerly flows amid weakening high-pressure blocks. However, the current Environment Canada 7-day guidance calls for cloudy skies with a high near 9°C, highlighting inherent spring forecast uncertainty; traders await Canadian Meteorological Centre model updates over the next 48 hours, which could refine ensemble consensus on intensification potential or steering patterns.

Trader sentiment favors 14°C or higher (65.5% implied probability) for Toronto's highest temperature on April 1, driven by recent long-range forecasts from the Old Farmer's Almanac, released mid-March 2026, predicting rainy but warm conditions across southern Ontario from April 1-8—above the typical early April high of around 9-11°C near Toronto Pearson International Airport. This optimism aligns with Environment and Climate Change Canada's outlook for 2026 as one of Canada's hottest years on record, potentially amplifying mild air advection from southerly flows amid weakening high-pressure blocks. However, the current Environment Canada 7-day guidance calls for cloudy skies with a high near 9°C, highlighting inherent spring forecast uncertainty; traders await Canadian Meteorological Centre model updates over the next 48 hours, which could refine ensemble consensus on intensification potential or steering patterns.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La temperatura más alta en Toronto el 1 de abril?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "14°C o más" con 66%, seguido de "13°C" con 21%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 66¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 66% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿La temperatura más alta en Toronto el 1 de abril?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 29, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿La temperatura más alta en Toronto el 1 de abril?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La temperatura más alta en Toronto el 1 de abril?" es "14°C o más" con 66%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 66% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "13°C" con 21%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La temperatura más alta en Toronto el 1 de abril?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.