Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated at 09:50 HKT on March 31, projects a 22–28°C temperature range for April 1's highest reading amid mainly cloudy conditions with one or two showers and sunny intervals, east to northeast winds at force 3–4, and 65–90% relative humidity—driving trader consensus toward the closely matched 27°C (28%) and 28°C (31.5%) outcomes. Recent observations show March 30 peaking at 27°C and March 31 morning at 26°C under a departing southerly trough, with seasonal spring patterns favoring above-normal temperatures but cloud-induced insolation variability creating uncertainty: more persistent showers could cap peaks at 25–27°C (trailing at 19.9%), while prolonged sunny breaks enable 28°C. HKO updates later today and hourly observations on April 1 will refine model consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 1?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 1?
28°C 32%
27°C 30%
25°C 19.7%
26°C 14%
NUEVO
$21,698 Vol.
NUEVO
$21,698 Vol.
1 abr 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
20%
26°C
14%
27°C
30%
28°C
32%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
6%
28°C 32%
27°C 30%
25°C 19.7%
26°C 14%
NUEVO
$21,698 Vol.
NUEVO
$21,698 Vol.
1 abr 2026
20°C or below
$5,051 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,886 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,459 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,926 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,248 Vol.
2%
25°C
$801 Vol.
20%
26°C
$1,085 Vol.
14%
27°C
$853 Vol.
30%
28°C
$850 Vol.
32%
29°C
$746 Vol.
8%
30°C or higher
$910 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated at 09:50 HKT on March 31, projects a 22–28°C temperature range for April 1's highest reading amid mainly cloudy conditions with one or two showers and sunny intervals, east to northeast winds at force 3–4, and 65–90% relative humidity—driving trader consensus toward the closely matched 27°C (28%) and 28°C (31.5%) outcomes. Recent observations show March 30 peaking at 27°C and March 31 morning at 26°C under a departing southerly trough, with seasonal spring patterns favoring above-normal temperatures but cloud-induced insolation variability creating uncertainty: more persistent showers could cap peaks at 25–27°C (trailing at 19.9%), while prolonged sunny breaks enable 28°C. HKO updates later today and hourly observations on April 1 will refine model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
Volumen
$21,698Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated at 09:50 HKT on March 31, projects a 22–28°C temperature range for April 1's highest reading amid mainly cloudy conditions with one or two showers and sunny intervals, east to northeast winds at force 3–4, and 65–90% relative humidity—driving trader consensus toward the closely matched 27°C (28%) and 28°C (31.5%) outcomes. Recent observations show March 30 peaking at 27°C and March 31 morning at 26°C under a departing southerly trough, with seasonal spring patterns favoring above-normal temperatures but cloud-induced insolation variability creating uncertainty: more persistent showers could cap peaks at 25–27°C (trailing at 19.9%), while prolonged sunny breaks enable 28°C. HKO updates later today and hourly observations on April 1 will refine model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$21,698Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated at 09:50 HKT on March 31, projects a 22–28°C temperature range for April 1's highest reading amid mainly cloudy conditions with one or two showers and sunny intervals, east to northeast winds at force 3–4, and 65–90% relative humidity—driving trader consensus toward the closely matched 27°C (28%) and 28°C (31.5%) outcomes. Recent observations show March 30 peaking at 27°C and March 31 morning at 26°C under a departing southerly trough, with seasonal spring patterns favoring above-normal temperatures but cloud-induced insolation variability creating uncertainty: more persistent showers could cap peaks at 25–27°C (trailing at 19.9%), while prolonged sunny breaks enable 28°C. HKO updates later today and hourly observations on April 1 will refine model consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes