Market icon

Highest temperature in London on April 1?

Market icon

Highest temperature in London on April 1?

Mar 29

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Mar 29

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

14°C 36%

15°C 30%

16°C 17%

13°C 16%

Polymarket
NEW

14°C 36%

15°C 30%

16°C 17%

13°C 16%

Polymarket
NEW

11°C or below

$467 Vol.

4%

12°C

$204 Vol.

10%

13°C

$316 Vol.

16%

14°C

$381 Vol.

36%

15°C

$257 Vol.

36%

16°C

$189 Vol.

17%

17°C

$132 Vol.

8%

18°C

$128 Vol.

4%

19°C

$89 Vol.

4%

20°C

$238 Vol.

<1%

21°C or higher

$275 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office forecast ensembles for London on April 1 show maximum temperatures centered around 14–15°C, aligning with trader consensus implying a 35.5% probability for 15°C and 31.5% for 14°C amid tight competition. This reflects a mild March backdrop, with recent highs reaching 19.2°C at Northolt on March 5, followed by the March 26 10-day outlook signaling changeable early April weather—periods of rain and wind in the north and west alternating with drier, brighter high-pressure spells favoring modest daytime peaks above the 13°C early-April climatological norm. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability, jet stream positioning, and potential southerly airflow, sustaining uncertainty for adjacent outcomes like 13°C or 16°C; daily model updates from NOAA and ECMWF will sharpen guidance before resolution.

Met Office forecast ensembles for London on April 1 show maximum temperatures centered around 14–15°C, aligning with trader consensus implying a 35.5% probability for 15°C and 31.5% for 14°C amid tight competition. This reflects a mild March backdrop, with recent highs reaching 19.2°C at Northolt on March 5, followed by the March 26 10-day outlook signaling changeable early April weather—periods of rain and wind in the north and west alternating with drier, brighter high-pressure spells favoring modest daytime peaks above the 13°C early-April climatological norm. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability, jet stream positioning, and potential southerly airflow, sustaining uncertainty for adjacent outcomes like 13°C or 16°C; daily model updates from NOAA and ECMWF will sharpen guidance before resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office forecast ensembles for London on April 1 show maximum temperatures centered around 14–15°C, aligning with trader consensus implying a 35.5% probability for 15°C and 31.5% for 14°C amid tight competition. This reflects a mild March backdrop, with recent highs reaching 19.2°C at Northolt on March 5, followed by the March 26 10-day outlook signaling changeable early April weather—periods of rain and wind in the north and west alternating with drier, brighter high-pressure spells favoring modest daytime peaks above the 13°C early-April climatological norm. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability, jet stream positioning, and potential southerly airflow, sustaining uncertainty for adjacent outcomes like 13°C or 16°C; daily model updates from NOAA and ECMWF will sharpen guidance before resolution.

Met Office forecast ensembles for London on April 1 show maximum temperatures centered around 14–15°C, aligning with trader consensus implying a 35.5% probability for 15°C and 31.5% for 14°C amid tight competition. This reflects a mild March backdrop, with recent highs reaching 19.2°C at Northolt on March 5, followed by the March 26 10-day outlook signaling changeable early April weather—periods of rain and wind in the north and west alternating with drier, brighter high-pressure spells favoring modest daytime peaks above the 13°C early-April climatological norm. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability, jet stream positioning, and potential southerly airflow, sustaining uncertainty for adjacent outcomes like 13°C or 16°C; daily model updates from NOAA and ECMWF will sharpen guidance before resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in London on April 1?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "14°C" con 36%, seguido de "15°C" con 36%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 36¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Highest temperature in London on April 1?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 29, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in London on April 1?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in London on April 1?" es "14°C" con 36%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "15°C" con 36%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in London on April 1?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.