National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles from NOAA indicate Denver's March 30 high temperature clustering in the upper 70s to low 80s, mirroring closely matched trader probabilities around 76-81°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting downslope winds and adiabatic warming. Recent record-shattering March heat—peaking at 87°F earlier this week—has transitioned to slightly moderated warmth under a Fire Weather Watch for gusty winds exceeding 25 mph and low relative humidity, enhancing temperature potential while heightening fire risk. Key differentiators include model spread on afternoon cloud development and boundary layer mixing, with GFS leaning warmer than ECMWF; new 12z runs today could refine odds before resolution at Denver International Airport. Normal March 30 highs hover near 58°F, underscoring the anomalous ridge-driven surge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on March 30?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 30?
80-81°F 28%
76-77°F 26%
78-79°F 22%
82-83°F 10%
73°F or below
8%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
31%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 28%
76-77°F 26%
78-79°F 22%
82-83°F 10%
73°F or below
8%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
31%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles from NOAA indicate Denver's March 30 high temperature clustering in the upper 70s to low 80s, mirroring closely matched trader probabilities around 76-81°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting downslope winds and adiabatic warming. Recent record-shattering March heat—peaking at 87°F earlier this week—has transitioned to slightly moderated warmth under a Fire Weather Watch for gusty winds exceeding 25 mph and low relative humidity, enhancing temperature potential while heightening fire risk. Key differentiators include model spread on afternoon cloud development and boundary layer mixing, with GFS leaning warmer than ECMWF; new 12z runs today could refine odds before resolution at Denver International Airport. Normal March 30 highs hover near 58°F, underscoring the anomalous ridge-driven surge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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