Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast for March 30 projects Taipei's daytime high between 20–29°C under mostly clear skies with low 10% precipitation risk, yet traders assign an 82% implied probability to 25°C or below, reflecting northeasterly winds from a recent spring rain front capping solar heating and aligning with late-March climatological averages of 22°C. Observational data from Taipei Songshan Airport shows morning temperatures hovering near 21°C, with model consensus skewed toward the lower forecast range amid lingering frontal influences. Uncertainty persists from potential afternoon cloud development, but real-time station readings and CWA updates through evening will clarify the peak before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on March 30?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 30?
25°C or below 85%
26°C 9%
27°C 5.8%
28°C <1%
$33,971 Vol.
$33,971 Vol.
25°C or below
85%
26°C
9%
27°C
6%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
25°C or below 85%
26°C 9%
27°C 5.8%
28°C <1%
$33,971 Vol.
$33,971 Vol.
25°C or below
85%
26°C
9%
27°C
6%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast for March 30 projects Taipei's daytime high between 20–29°C under mostly clear skies with low 10% precipitation risk, yet traders assign an 82% implied probability to 25°C or below, reflecting northeasterly winds from a recent spring rain front capping solar heating and aligning with late-March climatological averages of 22°C. Observational data from Taipei Songshan Airport shows morning temperatures hovering near 21°C, with model consensus skewed toward the lower forecast range amid lingering frontal influences. Uncertainty persists from potential afternoon cloud development, but real-time station readings and CWA updates through evening will clarify the peak before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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