Market icon

Highest temperature in Taipei on March 30?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Taipei on March 30?

25°C or below 85%

26°C 9%

27°C 5.8%

28°C <1%

Polymarket
NEW

$33,971 Vol.

25°C or below 85%

26°C 9%

27°C 5.8%

28°C <1%

Polymarket
NEW

$33,971 Vol.

25°C or below

$11,187 Vol.

85%

26°C

$2,576 Vol.

9%

27°C

$3,225 Vol.

6%

28°C

$3,743 Vol.

1%

29°C

$2,409 Vol.

1%

30°C

$1,816 Vol.

1%

31°C

$1,364 Vol.

<1%

32°C

$1,328 Vol.

1%

33°C

$1,007 Vol.

<1%

34°C

$2,233 Vol.

<1%

35°C or higher

$3,235 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast for March 30 projects Taipei's daytime high between 20–29°C under mostly clear skies with low 10% precipitation risk, yet traders assign an 82% implied probability to 25°C or below, reflecting northeasterly winds from a recent spring rain front capping solar heating and aligning with late-March climatological averages of 22°C. Observational data from Taipei Songshan Airport shows morning temperatures hovering near 21°C, with model consensus skewed toward the lower forecast range amid lingering frontal influences. Uncertainty persists from potential afternoon cloud development, but real-time station readings and CWA updates through evening will clarify the peak before resolution.

Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast for March 30 projects Taipei's daytime high between 20–29°C under mostly clear skies with low 10% precipitation risk, yet traders assign an 82% implied probability to 25°C or below, reflecting northeasterly winds from a recent spring rain front capping solar heating and aligning with late-March climatological averages of 22°C. Observational data from Taipei Songshan Airport shows morning temperatures hovering near 21°C, with model consensus skewed toward the lower forecast range amid lingering frontal influences. Uncertainty persists from potential afternoon cloud development, but real-time station readings and CWA updates through evening will clarify the peak before resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast for March 30 projects Taipei's daytime high between 20–29°C under mostly clear skies with low 10% precipitation risk, yet traders assign an 82% implied probability to 25°C or below, reflecting northeasterly winds from a recent spring rain front capping solar heating and aligning with late-March climatological averages of 22°C. Observational data from Taipei Songshan Airport shows morning temperatures hovering near 21°C, with model consensus skewed toward the lower forecast range amid lingering frontal influences. Uncertainty persists from potential afternoon cloud development, but real-time station readings and CWA updates through evening will clarify the peak before resolution.

Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast for March 30 projects Taipei's daytime high between 20–29°C under mostly clear skies with low 10% precipitation risk, yet traders assign an 82% implied probability to 25°C or below, reflecting northeasterly winds from a recent spring rain front capping solar heating and aligning with late-March climatological averages of 22°C. Observational data from Taipei Songshan Airport shows morning temperatures hovering near 21°C, with model consensus skewed toward the lower forecast range amid lingering frontal influences. Uncertainty persists from potential afternoon cloud development, but real-time station readings and CWA updates through evening will clarify the peak before resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Taipei on March 30?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "25°C or below" con 85%, seguido de "26°C" con 9%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 85¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 85% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Highest temperature in Taipei on March 30?" ha generado $34K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 29, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Taipei on March 30?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Taipei on March 30?" es "25°C or below" con 85%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 85% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "26°C" con 9%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Taipei on March 30?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.