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Highest temperature in Seoul on April 1?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Seoul on April 1?

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

13°C 25%

12°C 22%

14°C 21%

15°C 19%

Polymarket
NEW

13°C 25%

12°C 22%

14°C 21%

15°C 19%

Polymarket
NEW

6°C or below

$424 Vol.

2%

7°C

$420 Vol.

1%

8°C

$536 Vol.

1%

9°C

$206 Vol.

3%

10°C

$211 Vol.

8%

11°C

$103 Vol.

15%

12°C

$163 Vol.

22%

13°C

$93 Vol.

25%

14°C

$53 Vol.

21%

15°C

$82 Vol.

19%

16°C or higher

$1,112 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts for Seoul's highest temperature on April 1, with ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS projecting peaks of 12–14°C amid variable spring conditions. Recent March cool spells, featuring northerly winds and lingering Siberian high influence, have kept daytime highs subdued around 10–12°C, tempering expectations despite historical early-April averages near 14°C and a standard deviation of 3°C. Differentiating factors include cloud cover potential from approaching fronts, diurnal solar heating rates, and upper-level jet stream positioning, which could push outcomes toward 16°C or cooler 11°C. KMA's March 31 update will provide critical refinement as observational data from surface stations narrows the spread.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts for Seoul's highest temperature on April 1, with ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS projecting peaks of 12–14°C amid variable spring conditions. Recent March cool spells, featuring northerly winds and lingering Siberian high influence, have kept daytime highs subdued around 10–12°C, tempering expectations despite historical early-April averages near 14°C and a standard deviation of 3°C. Differentiating factors include cloud cover potential from approaching fronts, diurnal solar heating rates, and upper-level jet stream positioning, which could push outcomes toward 16°C or cooler 11°C. KMA's March 31 update will provide critical refinement as observational data from surface stations narrows the spread.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts for Seoul's highest temperature on April 1, with ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS projecting peaks of 12–14°C amid variable spring conditions. Recent March cool spells, featuring northerly winds and lingering Siberian high influence, have kept daytime highs subdued around 10–12°C, tempering expectations despite historical early-April averages near 14°C and a standard deviation of 3°C. Differentiating factors include cloud cover potential from approaching fronts, diurnal solar heating rates, and upper-level jet stream positioning, which could push outcomes toward 16°C or cooler 11°C. KMA's March 31 update will provide critical refinement as observational data from surface stations narrows the spread.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts for Seoul's highest temperature on April 1, with ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS projecting peaks of 12–14°C amid variable spring conditions. Recent March cool spells, featuring northerly winds and lingering Siberian high influence, have kept daytime highs subdued around 10–12°C, tempering expectations despite historical early-April averages near 14°C and a standard deviation of 3°C. Differentiating factors include cloud cover potential from approaching fronts, diurnal solar heating rates, and upper-level jet stream positioning, which could push outcomes toward 16°C or cooler 11°C. KMA's March 31 update will provide critical refinement as observational data from surface stations narrows the spread.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Seoul on April 1?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "13°C" con 25%, seguido de "12°C" con 22%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 25¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 25% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Highest temperature in Seoul on April 1?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 29, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Seoul on April 1?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Seoul on April 1?" es "13°C" con 25%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 25% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "12°C" con 22%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Seoul on April 1?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.