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¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 1 de abril?

Market icon

¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 1 de abril?

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

17°C 37%

16°C 32%

18°C 25%

20°C o más 12%

Polymarket
NEW

17°C 37%

16°C 32%

18°C 25%

20°C o más 12%

Polymarket
NEW

10°C o menos

$173 Vol.

<1%

11°C

$171 Vol.

1%

12°C

$1,825 Vol.

1%

13°C

$158 Vol.

5%

14°C

$49 Vol.

8%

15°C

$44 Vol.

11%

16°C

$31 Vol.

32%

17°C

$47 Vol.

37%

18°C

$50 Vol.

25%

19°C

$20 Vol.

7%

20°C o más

$317 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, updated March 29, projects a fine day in Wellington Central with a maximum temperature of 17°C and northwesterlies developing in the afternoon, driving trader consensus toward this outcome at 36.5% implied probability while keeping 16°C (31.5%) and 18°C (23%) competitive. These closely matched odds reflect short-range model consensus—drawing from GFS and ECMWF ensembles—anticipating mild solar heating under clear skies, tempered by autumnal cooling and coastal influences at the Wellington International Airport station used for Wunderground resolution data. Differentiating factors include potential wind strength boosting daytime temps via downslope warming versus overnight cloud lingering to cap peaks; early April climatology averages 16-17°C highs. Traders await tomorrow's 4-day forecast update for shifts in ensemble spread.

MetService's latest forecast, updated March 29, projects a fine day in Wellington Central with a maximum temperature of 17°C and northwesterlies developing in the afternoon, driving trader consensus toward this outcome at 36.5% implied probability while keeping 16°C (31.5%) and 18°C (23%) competitive. These closely matched odds reflect short-range model consensus—drawing from GFS and ECMWF ensembles—anticipating mild solar heating under clear skies, tempered by autumnal cooling and coastal influences at the Wellington International Airport station used for Wunderground resolution data. Differentiating factors include potential wind strength boosting daytime temps via downslope warming versus overnight cloud lingering to cap peaks; early April climatology averages 16-17°C highs. Traders await tomorrow's 4-day forecast update for shifts in ensemble spread.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, updated March 29, projects a fine day in Wellington Central with a maximum temperature of 17°C and northwesterlies developing in the afternoon, driving trader consensus toward this outcome at 36.5% implied probability while keeping 16°C (31.5%) and 18°C (23%) competitive. These closely matched odds reflect short-range model consensus—drawing from GFS and ECMWF ensembles—anticipating mild solar heating under clear skies, tempered by autumnal cooling and coastal influences at the Wellington International Airport station used for Wunderground resolution data. Differentiating factors include potential wind strength boosting daytime temps via downslope warming versus overnight cloud lingering to cap peaks; early April climatology averages 16-17°C highs. Traders await tomorrow's 4-day forecast update for shifts in ensemble spread.

MetService's latest forecast, updated March 29, projects a fine day in Wellington Central with a maximum temperature of 17°C and northwesterlies developing in the afternoon, driving trader consensus toward this outcome at 36.5% implied probability while keeping 16°C (31.5%) and 18°C (23%) competitive. These closely matched odds reflect short-range model consensus—drawing from GFS and ECMWF ensembles—anticipating mild solar heating under clear skies, tempered by autumnal cooling and coastal influences at the Wellington International Airport station used for Wunderground resolution data. Differentiating factors include potential wind strength boosting daytime temps via downslope warming versus overnight cloud lingering to cap peaks; early April climatology averages 16-17°C highs. Traders await tomorrow's 4-day forecast update for shifts in ensemble spread.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 1 de abril?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "17°C" con 37%, seguido de "16°C" con 32%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 37¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 1 de abril?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 29, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 1 de abril?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 1 de abril?" es "17°C" con 37%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "16°C" con 32%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 1 de abril?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.