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Highest temperature in Chicago on April 1?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Chicago on April 1?

Mar 29

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Mar 29

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

52°F or higher 23%

48-49°F 22%

46-47°F 17%

44-45°F 16%

Polymarket
NEW

52°F or higher 23%

48-49°F 22%

46-47°F 17%

44-45°F 16%

Polymarket
NEW

33°F or below

$1,252 Vol.

<1%

34-35°F

$630 Vol.

1%

36-37°F

$668 Vol.

<1%

38-39°F

$632 Vol.

2%

40-41°F

$421 Vol.

10%

42-43°F

$385 Vol.

12%

44-45°F

$428 Vol.

16%

46-47°F

$337 Vol.

17%

48-49°F

$534 Vol.

22%

50-51°F

$344 Vol.

11%

52°F or higher

$788 Vol.

23%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-term forecast models for Chicago O'Hare International Airport's highest temperature on April 1, with implied odds favoring 48-49°F (24%) over 52°F or higher (22.5%) amid slightly divergent GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance projecting highs from the mid-40s to low 50s. This positioning stems from persistent cool northerly winds and partial cloud cover following a colder-than-average meteorological winter, tempering the seasonal warmup below the 53.3°F climatological normal from National Weather Service data. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon clearing for solar heating versus lingering low-level moisture suppressing peaks, plus lake breeze effects off Lake Michigan that often cap spring highs. New high-resolution HRRR runs and NWS forecast updates expected today could refine the outlook ahead of resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-term forecast models for Chicago O'Hare International Airport's highest temperature on April 1, with implied odds favoring 48-49°F (24%) over 52°F or higher (22.5%) amid slightly divergent GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance projecting highs from the mid-40s to low 50s. This positioning stems from persistent cool northerly winds and partial cloud cover following a colder-than-average meteorological winter, tempering the seasonal warmup below the 53.3°F climatological normal from National Weather Service data. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon clearing for solar heating versus lingering low-level moisture suppressing peaks, plus lake breeze effects off Lake Michigan that often cap spring highs. New high-resolution HRRR runs and NWS forecast updates expected today could refine the outlook ahead of resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-term forecast models for Chicago O'Hare International Airport's highest temperature on April 1, with implied odds favoring 48-49°F (24%) over 52°F or higher (22.5%) amid slightly divergent GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance projecting highs from the mid-40s to low 50s. This positioning stems from persistent cool northerly winds and partial cloud cover following a colder-than-average meteorological winter, tempering the seasonal warmup below the 53.3°F climatological normal from National Weather Service data. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon clearing for solar heating versus lingering low-level moisture suppressing peaks, plus lake breeze effects off Lake Michigan that often cap spring highs. New high-resolution HRRR runs and NWS forecast updates expected today could refine the outlook ahead of resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-term forecast models for Chicago O'Hare International Airport's highest temperature on April 1, with implied odds favoring 48-49°F (24%) over 52°F or higher (22.5%) amid slightly divergent GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance projecting highs from the mid-40s to low 50s. This positioning stems from persistent cool northerly winds and partial cloud cover following a colder-than-average meteorological winter, tempering the seasonal warmup below the 53.3°F climatological normal from National Weather Service data. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon clearing for solar heating versus lingering low-level moisture suppressing peaks, plus lake breeze effects off Lake Michigan that often cap spring highs. New high-resolution HRRR runs and NWS forecast updates expected today could refine the outlook ahead of resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Chicago on April 1?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "52°F or higher" con 23%, seguido de "48-49°F" con 22%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 23¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 23% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Highest temperature in Chicago on April 1?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 29, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Chicago on April 1?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Chicago on April 1?" es "52°F or higher" con 23%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 23% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "48-49°F" con 22%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Chicago on April 1?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.