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¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 30 de marzo?

Market icon

¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 30 de marzo?

Mar 29

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Mar 29

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

76°F o más 55%

74-75°F 25%

72-73°F 10%

70-71 °F 2.7%

Polymarket
NEW

$37,148 Vol.

76°F o más 55%

74-75°F 25%

72-73°F 10%

70-71 °F 2.7%

Polymarket
NEW

$37,148 Vol.

57°F o menos

$4,516 Vol.

<1%

58-59°F

$4,184 Vol.

<1%

60-61°F

$4,629 Vol.

<1%

62-63°F

$6,604 Vol.

<1%

64-65°F

$2,135 Vol.

<1%

66-67°F

$1,768 Vol.

<1%

68-69°F

$3,286 Vol.

2%

70-71 °F

$3,073 Vol.

3%

72-73°F

$2,183 Vol.

10%

74-75°F

$2,176 Vol.

25%

76°F o más

$2,600 Vol.

55%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 55.5% implied probability for Chicago O'Hare's highest temperature reaching 76°F or higher today, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of mostly sunny skies, south-southwest winds at 5-15 mph facilitating warm air advection, and a building upper-level ridge promoting peak diurnal heating into the mid-to-upper 70s. This positions 74-75°F (25%) and 72-73°F (9.5%) as trailing outcomes, reflecting model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs showing potential to exceed the official 73°F guidance amid yesterday's milder 63°F high. Well above the 52.5°F March climatological normal, uncertainties include afternoon cloud development or shear-line timing, with observations through 4 PM CDT key to resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 55.5% implied probability for Chicago O'Hare's highest temperature reaching 76°F or higher today, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of mostly sunny skies, south-southwest winds at 5-15 mph facilitating warm air advection, and a building upper-level ridge promoting peak diurnal heating into the mid-to-upper 70s. This positions 74-75°F (25%) and 72-73°F (9.5%) as trailing outcomes, reflecting model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs showing potential to exceed the official 73°F guidance amid yesterday's milder 63°F high. Well above the 52.5°F March climatological normal, uncertainties include afternoon cloud development or shear-line timing, with observations through 4 PM CDT key to resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 55.5% implied probability for Chicago O'Hare's highest temperature reaching 76°F or higher today, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of mostly sunny skies, south-southwest winds at 5-15 mph facilitating warm air advection, and a building upper-level ridge promoting peak diurnal heating into the mid-to-upper 70s. This positions 74-75°F (25%) and 72-73°F (9.5%) as trailing outcomes, reflecting model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs showing potential to exceed the official 73°F guidance amid yesterday's milder 63°F high. Well above the 52.5°F March climatological normal, uncertainties include afternoon cloud development or shear-line timing, with observations through 4 PM CDT key to resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 55.5% implied probability for Chicago O'Hare's highest temperature reaching 76°F or higher today, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of mostly sunny skies, south-southwest winds at 5-15 mph facilitating warm air advection, and a building upper-level ridge promoting peak diurnal heating into the mid-to-upper 70s. This positions 74-75°F (25%) and 72-73°F (9.5%) as trailing outcomes, reflecting model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs showing potential to exceed the official 73°F guidance amid yesterday's milder 63°F high. Well above the 52.5°F March climatological normal, uncertainties include afternoon cloud development or shear-line timing, with observations through 4 PM CDT key to resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 30 de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "76°F o más" con 56%, seguido de "74-75°F" con 25%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 56¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 56% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 30 de marzo?" ha generado $37.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 29, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 30 de marzo?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 30 de marzo?" es "76°F o más" con 56%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 56% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "74-75°F" con 25%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 30 de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.