Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Taipei's highest temperature on April 4, with 24°C leading at 28.5% amid Central Weather Administration (CWA) guidance projecting 21-24°C highs under an approaching frontal system bringing scattered showers and thunderstorms to northern Taiwan. This front, confirmed in CWA updates over the past 48 hours, introduces cooler northeasterly winds and mid-level clouds that suppress daytime heating via reduced insolation, capping potential from April climatological norms of 24-26°C. Differentiating factors include frontal passage timing—earlier onset favors 23°C (18.5%) via persistent rain, while afternoon breaks could allow 25-26°C peaks (19.5% and 17.5%) through partial solar heating. Hourly CWA observations will clarify as the market nears resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on April 4?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 4?
24°C 28%
23°C 20%
25°C 19%
26°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 abr 2026
22°C or below
7%
23°C
20%
24°C
28%
25°C
19%
26°C
16%
27°C
8%
28°C
5%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
24°C 28%
23°C 20%
25°C 19%
26°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 abr 2026
22°C or below
$901 Vol.
7%
23°C
$597 Vol.
20%
24°C
$816 Vol.
28%
25°C
$599 Vol.
19%
26°C
$495 Vol.
16%
27°C
$485 Vol.
8%
28°C
$519 Vol.
5%
29°C
$258 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$384 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$579 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$1,757 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Taipei's highest temperature on April 4, with 24°C leading at 28.5% amid Central Weather Administration (CWA) guidance projecting 21-24°C highs under an approaching frontal system bringing scattered showers and thunderstorms to northern Taiwan. This front, confirmed in CWA updates over the past 48 hours, introduces cooler northeasterly winds and mid-level clouds that suppress daytime heating via reduced insolation, capping potential from April climatological norms of 24-26°C. Differentiating factors include frontal passage timing—earlier onset favors 23°C (18.5%) via persistent rain, while afternoon breaks could allow 25-26°C peaks (19.5% and 17.5%) through partial solar heating. Hourly CWA observations will clarify as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
Volumen
$7,391Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Taipei's highest temperature on April 4, with 24°C leading at 28.5% amid Central Weather Administration (CWA) guidance projecting 21-24°C highs under an approaching frontal system bringing scattered showers and thunderstorms to northern Taiwan. This front, confirmed in CWA updates over the past 48 hours, introduces cooler northeasterly winds and mid-level clouds that suppress daytime heating via reduced insolation, capping potential from April climatological norms of 24-26°C. Differentiating factors include frontal passage timing—earlier onset favors 23°C (18.5%) via persistent rain, while afternoon breaks could allow 25-26°C peaks (19.5% and 17.5%) through partial solar heating. Hourly CWA observations will clarify as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$7,391Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Taipei's highest temperature on April 4, with 24°C leading at 28.5% amid Central Weather Administration (CWA) guidance projecting 21-24°C highs under an approaching frontal system bringing scattered showers and thunderstorms to northern Taiwan. This front, confirmed in CWA updates over the past 48 hours, introduces cooler northeasterly winds and mid-level clouds that suppress daytime heating via reduced insolation, capping potential from April climatological norms of 24-26°C. Differentiating factors include frontal passage timing—earlier onset favors 23°C (18.5%) via persistent rain, while afternoon breaks could allow 25-26°C peaks (19.5% and 17.5%) through partial solar heating. Hourly CWA observations will clarify as the market nears resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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