Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast ensembles for Shenzhen's April 7 high temperature, with 29°C (27.5%) edging 28°C (26.0%) amid converging signals from China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs of 29–31°C. Recent convective activity through April 6, including thunderstorms and yellow rainstorm warnings, has introduced moisture and cloud cover variability, potentially capping peaks at 28°C if showers persist or allowing 30°C with partial clearing and urban heat island amplification. Historical April averages hover around 26°C, but a building subtropical ridge favors warmer outcomes; watch daily CMA updates and new model runs for resolution as landfall windows narrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 7 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 7 de abril?
29°C 32%
28°C 26%
30°C 14%
31°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 abr 2026
22°C o menos
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
10%
27°C
16%
28°C
26%
29°C
28%
30°C
19%
31°C
12%
32°C o más
7%
29°C 32%
28°C 26%
30°C 14%
31°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 abr 2026
22°C o menos
$1,264 Vol.
1%
23°C
$323 Vol.
1%
24°C
$289 Vol.
1%
25°C
$52 Vol.
3%
26°C
$50 Vol.
10%
27°C
$39 Vol.
16%
28°C
$12 Vol.
26%
29°C
$87 Vol.
28%
30°C
$33 Vol.
19%
31°C
$47 Vol.
12%
32°C o más
$44 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast ensembles for Shenzhen's April 7 high temperature, with 29°C (27.5%) edging 28°C (26.0%) amid converging signals from China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs of 29–31°C. Recent convective activity through April 6, including thunderstorms and yellow rainstorm warnings, has introduced moisture and cloud cover variability, potentially capping peaks at 28°C if showers persist or allowing 30°C with partial clearing and urban heat island amplification. Historical April averages hover around 26°C, but a building subtropical ridge favors warmer outcomes; watch daily CMA updates and new model runs for resolution as landfall windows narrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 3, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Volumen
$2,240Fecha de finalización
7 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 6:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast ensembles for Shenzhen's April 7 high temperature, with 29°C (27.5%) edging 28°C (26.0%) amid converging signals from China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs of 29–31°C. Recent convective activity through April 6, including thunderstorms and yellow rainstorm warnings, has introduced moisture and cloud cover variability, potentially capping peaks at 28°C if showers persist or allowing 30°C with partial clearing and urban heat island amplification. Historical April averages hover around 26°C, but a building subtropical ridge favors warmer outcomes; watch daily CMA updates and new model runs for resolution as landfall windows narrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,240Fecha de finalización
7 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 6:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast ensembles for Shenzhen's April 7 high temperature, with 29°C (27.5%) edging 28°C (26.0%) amid converging signals from China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs of 29–31°C. Recent convective activity through April 6, including thunderstorms and yellow rainstorm warnings, has introduced moisture and cloud cover variability, potentially capping peaks at 28°C if showers persist or allowing 30°C with partial clearing and urban heat island amplification. Historical April averages hover around 26°C, but a building subtropical ridge favors warmer outcomes; watch daily CMA updates and new model runs for resolution as landfall windows narrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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