Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the Met Office's latest forecast, updated April 1, showing London's highest temperature on April 5 reaching 13°C under sunny intervals, though strong westerly winds gusting to 37 mph will make it feel cooler at 8–13°C. This edges out 12°C amid inherent short-range uncertainty from a trough-dominated pattern delivering changeable early April weather—drier and brighter in the southeast on Easter Sunday after wet, windy spells Friday-Saturday, with low rain risk (<5%). Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability across ECMWF and UKV models, potential for increased mixing to suppress highs below climatological 13–14°C norms, and daily forecast updates through resolution; new observations could tip toward 14°C if winds ease.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in London on April 5?
Highest temperature in London on April 5?
13°C 34%
12°C 28%
14°C 17%
15°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 abr 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
5%
11°C
9%
12°C
28%
13°C
34%
14°C
17%
15°C
10%
16°C
5%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
1%
13°C 34%
12°C 28%
14°C 17%
15°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 abr 2026
8°C or below
$371 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$386 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$160 Vol.
5%
11°C
$270 Vol.
9%
12°C
$296 Vol.
28%
13°C
$337 Vol.
34%
14°C
$268 Vol.
17%
15°C
$269 Vol.
10%
16°C
$153 Vol.
5%
17°C
$109 Vol.
2%
18°C or higher
$241 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the Met Office's latest forecast, updated April 1, showing London's highest temperature on April 5 reaching 13°C under sunny intervals, though strong westerly winds gusting to 37 mph will make it feel cooler at 8–13°C. This edges out 12°C amid inherent short-range uncertainty from a trough-dominated pattern delivering changeable early April weather—drier and brighter in the southeast on Easter Sunday after wet, windy spells Friday-Saturday, with low rain risk (<5%). Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability across ECMWF and UKV models, potential for increased mixing to suppress highs below climatological 13–14°C norms, and daily forecast updates through resolution; new observations could tip toward 14°C if winds ease.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Volumen
$2,859Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the Met Office's latest forecast, updated April 1, showing London's highest temperature on April 5 reaching 13°C under sunny intervals, though strong westerly winds gusting to 37 mph will make it feel cooler at 8–13°C. This edges out 12°C amid inherent short-range uncertainty from a trough-dominated pattern delivering changeable early April weather—drier and brighter in the southeast on Easter Sunday after wet, windy spells Friday-Saturday, with low rain risk (<5%). Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability across ECMWF and UKV models, potential for increased mixing to suppress highs below climatological 13–14°C norms, and daily forecast updates through resolution; new observations could tip toward 14°C if winds ease.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,859Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the Met Office's latest forecast, updated April 1, showing London's highest temperature on April 5 reaching 13°C under sunny intervals, though strong westerly winds gusting to 37 mph will make it feel cooler at 8–13°C. This edges out 12°C amid inherent short-range uncertainty from a trough-dominated pattern delivering changeable early April weather—drier and brighter in the southeast on Easter Sunday after wet, windy spells Friday-Saturday, with low rain risk (<5%). Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability across ECMWF and UKV models, potential for increased mixing to suppress highs below climatological 13–14°C norms, and daily forecast updates through resolution; new observations could tip toward 14°C if winds ease.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes