Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature of 62-63°F in Seattle on April 5 at 35.5% probability, closely tracking the latest National Weather Service and ensemble model forecasts from GFS and ECMWF, which project highs near 62°F amid building high-pressure ridging over the Pacific Northwest. This follows a cooler, rainy pattern earlier in the week with highs around 50°F, but upper-air analysis shows warming aloft and reduced marine influence, favoring above-normal temperatures for early April—where climatological averages hover at 57°F. Local outlets like KING5 align with 63°F, though cloud cover or residual low-level moisture could cap peaks at 60-61°F (23.5%) or push to 64-65°F (20.0%). New model runs expected daily through April 4 may refine these odds ahead of resolution using official Sea-Tac observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seattle on April 5?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 5?
62-63°F 36%
60-61°F 24%
64-65°F 21%
58-59°F 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 abr 2026
55°F or below
4%
56-57°F
3%
58-59°F
8%
60-61°F
24%
62-63°F
36%
64-65°F
21%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
2%
74°F or higher
1%
62-63°F 36%
60-61°F 24%
64-65°F 21%
58-59°F 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 abr 2026
55°F or below
$273 Vol.
4%
56-57°F
$61 Vol.
3%
58-59°F
$46 Vol.
8%
60-61°F
$193 Vol.
24%
62-63°F
$325 Vol.
36%
64-65°F
$157 Vol.
21%
66-67°F
$72 Vol.
8%
68-69°F
$50 Vol.
3%
70-71°F
$66 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$56 Vol.
2%
74°F or higher
$201 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature of 62-63°F in Seattle on April 5 at 35.5% probability, closely tracking the latest National Weather Service and ensemble model forecasts from GFS and ECMWF, which project highs near 62°F amid building high-pressure ridging over the Pacific Northwest. This follows a cooler, rainy pattern earlier in the week with highs around 50°F, but upper-air analysis shows warming aloft and reduced marine influence, favoring above-normal temperatures for early April—where climatological averages hover at 57°F. Local outlets like KING5 align with 63°F, though cloud cover or residual low-level moisture could cap peaks at 60-61°F (23.5%) or push to 64-65°F (20.0%). New model runs expected daily through April 4 may refine these odds ahead of resolution using official Sea-Tac observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volumen
$1,498Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature of 62-63°F in Seattle on April 5 at 35.5% probability, closely tracking the latest National Weather Service and ensemble model forecasts from GFS and ECMWF, which project highs near 62°F amid building high-pressure ridging over the Pacific Northwest. This follows a cooler, rainy pattern earlier in the week with highs around 50°F, but upper-air analysis shows warming aloft and reduced marine influence, favoring above-normal temperatures for early April—where climatological averages hover at 57°F. Local outlets like KING5 align with 63°F, though cloud cover or residual low-level moisture could cap peaks at 60-61°F (23.5%) or push to 64-65°F (20.0%). New model runs expected daily through April 4 may refine these odds ahead of resolution using official Sea-Tac observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,498Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature of 62-63°F in Seattle on April 5 at 35.5% probability, closely tracking the latest National Weather Service and ensemble model forecasts from GFS and ECMWF, which project highs near 62°F amid building high-pressure ridging over the Pacific Northwest. This follows a cooler, rainy pattern earlier in the week with highs around 50°F, but upper-air analysis shows warming aloft and reduced marine influence, favoring above-normal temperatures for early April—where climatological averages hover at 57°F. Local outlets like KING5 align with 63°F, though cloud cover or residual low-level moisture could cap peaks at 60-61°F (23.5%) or push to 64-65°F (20.0%). New model runs expected daily through April 4 may refine these odds ahead of resolution using official Sea-Tac observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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