**Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 14°C (37%) as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 5, with 15°C and 16°C close behind at 22% each, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering around 13–16°C amid lingering uncertainty from model spread.** Recent yellow-code warnings from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) for storms and heavy rain across Ankara through April 3 have suppressed highs to 11–12°C, but post-frontal clearing and southerly flow are projected to allow a modest rebound under partly cloudy skies. April climatology averages 16°C highs at Ankara Esenboğa Airport, though current cool anomaly persists; watch MGM's daily updates and 12-hourly ECMWF/GFS runs for refinements before resolution based on official station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on April 5?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 5?
14°C 37%
15°C 22%
16°C 18%
13°C 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 abr 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
5%
13°C
17%
14°C
37%
15°C
22%
16°C
18%
17°C or higher
7%
14°C 37%
15°C 22%
16°C 18%
13°C 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 abr 2026
7°C or below
$655 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$760 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$913 Vol.
1%
10°C
$393 Vol.
1%
11°C
$288 Vol.
2%
12°C
$455 Vol.
5%
13°C
$1,091 Vol.
17%
14°C
$333 Vol.
37%
15°C
$483 Vol.
22%
16°C
$389 Vol.
18%
17°C or higher
$629 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 14°C (37%) as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 5, with 15°C and 16°C close behind at 22% each, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering around 13–16°C amid lingering uncertainty from model spread.** Recent yellow-code warnings from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) for storms and heavy rain across Ankara through April 3 have suppressed highs to 11–12°C, but post-frontal clearing and southerly flow are projected to allow a modest rebound under partly cloudy skies. April climatology averages 16°C highs at Ankara Esenboğa Airport, though current cool anomaly persists; watch MGM's daily updates and 12-hourly ECMWF/GFS runs for refinements before resolution based on official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volumen
$6,389Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 14°C (37%) as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 5, with 15°C and 16°C close behind at 22% each, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering around 13–16°C amid lingering uncertainty from model spread.** Recent yellow-code warnings from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) for storms and heavy rain across Ankara through April 3 have suppressed highs to 11–12°C, but post-frontal clearing and southerly flow are projected to allow a modest rebound under partly cloudy skies. April climatology averages 16°C highs at Ankara Esenboğa Airport, though current cool anomaly persists; watch MGM's daily updates and 12-hourly ECMWF/GFS runs for refinements before resolution based on official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$6,389Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 14°C (37%) as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 5, with 15°C and 16°C close behind at 22% each, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering around 13–16°C amid lingering uncertainty from model spread.** Recent yellow-code warnings from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) for storms and heavy rain across Ankara through April 3 have suppressed highs to 11–12°C, but post-frontal clearing and southerly flow are projected to allow a modest rebound under partly cloudy skies. April climatology averages 16°C highs at Ankara Esenboğa Airport, though current cool anomaly persists; watch MGM's daily updates and 12-hourly ECMWF/GFS runs for refinements before resolution based on official station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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