National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble models project Miami International Airport's high temperature on April 5 at 81-83°F, fueling trader consensus around those ranges amid a stubborn high-pressure ridge over the Southeast delivering dry, easterly breezes. The narrow lead for 80-81°F (37%) over 82-83°F (30.5%) stems from model spread on sea breeze penetration—which could moderate peaks via coastal cooling—and isolated shower potential from residual moisture, with 46% daytime cloud cover possible per recent runs. Following a cooler La Niña winter, South Florida's recent pattern of warm, stable days aligns with April climatology (average high 82°F), but daily forecast updates through April 4 will clarify timing of any convective activity tipping the balance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Miami on April 5?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 5?
80-81°F 37%
82-83°F 34%
78-79°F 13%
84-85°F 12%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 37%
82-83°F 34%
78-79°F 13%
84-85°F 12%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble models project Miami International Airport's high temperature on April 5 at 81-83°F, fueling trader consensus around those ranges amid a stubborn high-pressure ridge over the Southeast delivering dry, easterly breezes. The narrow lead for 80-81°F (37%) over 82-83°F (30.5%) stems from model spread on sea breeze penetration—which could moderate peaks via coastal cooling—and isolated shower potential from residual moisture, with 46% daytime cloud cover possible per recent runs. Following a cooler La Niña winter, South Florida's recent pattern of warm, stable days aligns with April climatology (average high 82°F), but daily forecast updates through April 4 will clarify timing of any convective activity tipping the balance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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