Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Miami's highest temperature on April 6, with implied probabilities split between extremes like 92°F or higher (25%) and 73°F or below (23.5%), driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a 80°F high amid east winds and a chance of thunderstorms. Current semi-tropical high pressure over the Atlantic steers warm, moist air onshore, fostering sea breeze convergence and afternoon convection that could cap peaks through cloud cover or boost them via subsidence if showers hold off. Short-range model ensembles from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF show ensemble means near 80-82°F, consistent with early April climatology (average 81°F at Miami International Airport), but diverge on frontal timing and intensity. Daily forecast updates through April 5 will clarify resolution based on official observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Miami on April 6?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 6?
82-83°F 29%
80-81°F 16%
86-87°F 13%
84-85°F 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 abr 2026
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 29%
80-81°F 16%
86-87°F 13%
84-85°F 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 abr 2026
73°F or below
$215 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$10 Vol.
8%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
11%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
12%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
16%
82-83°F
$11 Vol.
29%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
12%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
13%
88-89°F
$259 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$228 Vol.
1%
92°F or higher
$230 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Miami's highest temperature on April 6, with implied probabilities split between extremes like 92°F or higher (25%) and 73°F or below (23.5%), driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a 80°F high amid east winds and a chance of thunderstorms. Current semi-tropical high pressure over the Atlantic steers warm, moist air onshore, fostering sea breeze convergence and afternoon convection that could cap peaks through cloud cover or boost them via subsidence if showers hold off. Short-range model ensembles from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF show ensemble means near 80-82°F, consistent with early April climatology (average 81°F at Miami International Airport), but diverge on frontal timing and intensity. Daily forecast updates through April 5 will clarify resolution based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volumen
$954Fecha de finalización
6 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Miami's highest temperature on April 6, with implied probabilities split between extremes like 92°F or higher (25%) and 73°F or below (23.5%), driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a 80°F high amid east winds and a chance of thunderstorms. Current semi-tropical high pressure over the Atlantic steers warm, moist air onshore, fostering sea breeze convergence and afternoon convection that could cap peaks through cloud cover or boost them via subsidence if showers hold off. Short-range model ensembles from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF show ensemble means near 80-82°F, consistent with early April climatology (average 81°F at Miami International Airport), but diverge on frontal timing and intensity. Daily forecast updates through April 5 will clarify resolution based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$954Fecha de finalización
6 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Miami's highest temperature on April 6, with implied probabilities split between extremes like 92°F or higher (25%) and 73°F or below (23.5%), driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a 80°F high amid east winds and a chance of thunderstorms. Current semi-tropical high pressure over the Atlantic steers warm, moist air onshore, fostering sea breeze convergence and afternoon convection that could cap peaks through cloud cover or boost them via subsidence if showers hold off. Short-range model ensembles from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF show ensemble means near 80-82°F, consistent with early April climatology (average 81°F at Miami International Airport), but diverge on frontal timing and intensity. Daily forecast updates through April 5 will clarify resolution based on official observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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