Current short-range forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models like ECMWF and GFS project Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 2 around 24-26°C, aligning with trader sentiment favoring 24°C at 27.5% implied probability amid tight clustering across mid-20s outcomes. Late March observations reported mild highs of 19-22°C with isolated showers, setting up modest warming under weak high-pressure influence and typical spring subsidence. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on afternoon cloud cover, sea breeze intensity from the Mediterranean—which moderates coastal peaks—and potential for isolated showers suppressing maxima below 25°C or allowing brief surges toward 27-30°C if sunnier. Historical early April averages hover near 23°C; watch IMS updates and fresh model runs over the next 48 hours for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 2?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 2?
24°C 28%
30°C or higher 20.5%
25°C 19%
26°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
20°C or below
11%
21°C
16%
22°C
16%
23°C
16%
24°C
28%
25°C
19%
26°C
16%
27°C
16%
28°C
11%
29°C
11%
30°C or higher
20%
24°C 28%
30°C or higher 20.5%
25°C 19%
26°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
20°C or below
$6 Vol.
11%
21°C
$0 Vol.
16%
22°C
$0 Vol.
16%
23°C
$0 Vol.
16%
24°C
$0 Vol.
28%
25°C
$0 Vol.
19%
26°C
$1 Vol.
16%
27°C
$5 Vol.
16%
28°C
$9 Vol.
11%
29°C
$13 Vol.
11%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current short-range forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models like ECMWF and GFS project Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 2 around 24-26°C, aligning with trader sentiment favoring 24°C at 27.5% implied probability amid tight clustering across mid-20s outcomes. Late March observations reported mild highs of 19-22°C with isolated showers, setting up modest warming under weak high-pressure influence and typical spring subsidence. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on afternoon cloud cover, sea breeze intensity from the Mediterranean—which moderates coastal peaks—and potential for isolated showers suppressing maxima below 25°C or allowing brief surges toward 27-30°C if sunnier. Historical early April averages hover near 23°C; watch IMS updates and fresh model runs over the next 48 hours for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
Volumen
$35Fecha de finalización
Apr 2, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current short-range forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models like ECMWF and GFS project Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 2 around 24-26°C, aligning with trader sentiment favoring 24°C at 27.5% implied probability amid tight clustering across mid-20s outcomes. Late March observations reported mild highs of 19-22°C with isolated showers, setting up modest warming under weak high-pressure influence and typical spring subsidence. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on afternoon cloud cover, sea breeze intensity from the Mediterranean—which moderates coastal peaks—and potential for isolated showers suppressing maxima below 25°C or allowing brief surges toward 27-30°C if sunnier. Historical early April averages hover near 23°C; watch IMS updates and fresh model runs over the next 48 hours for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$35Fecha de finalización
Apr 2, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models like ECMWF and GFS project Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 2 around 24-26°C, aligning with trader sentiment favoring 24°C at 27.5% implied probability amid tight clustering across mid-20s outcomes. Late March observations reported mild highs of 19-22°C with isolated showers, setting up modest warming under weak high-pressure influence and typical spring subsidence. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on afternoon cloud cover, sea breeze intensity from the Mediterranean—which moderates coastal peaks—and potential for isolated showers suppressing maxima below 25°C or allowing brief surges toward 27-30°C if sunnier. Historical early April averages hover near 23°C; watch IMS updates and fresh model runs over the next 48 hours for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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