Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight model spread for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 3, with ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS centering 21–25°C amid transitional spring patterns over the eastern Mediterranean. Recent Israel Meteorological Service updates show mild late-March conditions persisting, featuring variable mid-level clouds and moderate sea breezes from the warming Mediterranean Sea surface temperatures around 18–19°C, capping peak highs while southerly flows add warmth potential. Climatological early-April averages hover at 22–24°C, but slight discrepancies in forecast cloud cover and upper-level trough positioning create the close odds among 21–25°C outcomes. Watch for daily IMS advisories and 12z model runs through April 1, as small shifts in persistence could refine the distribution before resolution via official station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3?
23°C 25%
21°C 24%
22°C 23%
25°C or higher 22%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
7%
18°C
11%
19°C
11%
20°C
18%
21°C
24%
22°C
23%
23°C
25%
24°C
19%
25°C or higher
22%
23°C 25%
21°C 24%
22°C 23%
25°C or higher 22%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
15°C or below
$238 Vol.
1%
16°C
$222 Vol.
1%
17°C
$42 Vol.
7%
18°C
$0 Vol.
11%
19°C
$0 Vol.
11%
20°C
$0 Vol.
18%
21°C
$0 Vol.
24%
22°C
$0 Vol.
23%
23°C
$0 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
19%
25°C or higher
$0 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight model spread for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 3, with ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS centering 21–25°C amid transitional spring patterns over the eastern Mediterranean. Recent Israel Meteorological Service updates show mild late-March conditions persisting, featuring variable mid-level clouds and moderate sea breezes from the warming Mediterranean Sea surface temperatures around 18–19°C, capping peak highs while southerly flows add warmth potential. Climatological early-April averages hover at 22–24°C, but slight discrepancies in forecast cloud cover and upper-level trough positioning create the close odds among 21–25°C outcomes. Watch for daily IMS advisories and 12z model runs through April 1, as small shifts in persistence could refine the distribution before resolution via official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ET
Volumen
$501Fecha de finalización
Apr 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight model spread for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 3, with ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS centering 21–25°C amid transitional spring patterns over the eastern Mediterranean. Recent Israel Meteorological Service updates show mild late-March conditions persisting, featuring variable mid-level clouds and moderate sea breezes from the warming Mediterranean Sea surface temperatures around 18–19°C, capping peak highs while southerly flows add warmth potential. Climatological early-April averages hover at 22–24°C, but slight discrepancies in forecast cloud cover and upper-level trough positioning create the close odds among 21–25°C outcomes. Watch for daily IMS advisories and 12z model runs through April 1, as small shifts in persistence could refine the distribution before resolution via official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$501Fecha de finalización
Apr 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight model spread for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 3, with ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS centering 21–25°C amid transitional spring patterns over the eastern Mediterranean. Recent Israel Meteorological Service updates show mild late-March conditions persisting, featuring variable mid-level clouds and moderate sea breezes from the warming Mediterranean Sea surface temperatures around 18–19°C, capping peak highs while southerly flows add warmth potential. Climatological early-April averages hover at 22–24°C, but slight discrepancies in forecast cloud cover and upper-level trough positioning create the close odds among 21–25°C outcomes. Watch for daily IMS advisories and 12z model runs through April 1, as small shifts in persistence could refine the distribution before resolution via official station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes