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Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 1?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 1?

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

26°C 31%

27°C 30%

25°C 15%

28°C 11%

Polymarket
NEW

26°C 31%

27°C 30%

25°C 15%

28°C 11%

Polymarket
NEW

21°C or below

$92 Vol.

4%

22°C

$8 Vol.

2%

23°C

$13 Vol.

8%

24°C

$56 Vol.

8%

25°C

$44 Vol.

15%

26°C

$118 Vol.

31%

27°C

$92 Vol.

30%

28°C

$30 Vol.

11%

29°C

$25 Vol.

7%

30°C

$32 Vol.

3%

31°C or higher

$92 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 26°C (30.5%) and 27°C (28.5%) for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 1, reflecting genuine uncertainty in forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models, which show peak highs clustering in the mid-20s Celsius amid building high pressure over the eastern Mediterranean. Recent stormy weather through late March has cleared, allowing subsidence warming and reduced cloud cover to drive daytime maxima above the 23°C April 1 historical average, supported by Mediterranean sea surface temperatures around 18°C fueling mild southerly advection. Differentiating factors include boundary layer mixing efficiency and sea breeze onset timing, which could limit peaks at 26°C or allow brief surges to 27°C under prolonged insolation. New 00Z model runs and Israel Meteorological Service updates today will likely sharpen this outlook ahead of resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 26°C (30.5%) and 27°C (28.5%) for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 1, reflecting genuine uncertainty in forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models, which show peak highs clustering in the mid-20s Celsius amid building high pressure over the eastern Mediterranean. Recent stormy weather through late March has cleared, allowing subsidence warming and reduced cloud cover to drive daytime maxima above the 23°C April 1 historical average, supported by Mediterranean sea surface temperatures around 18°C fueling mild southerly advection. Differentiating factors include boundary layer mixing efficiency and sea breeze onset timing, which could limit peaks at 26°C or allow brief surges to 27°C under prolonged insolation. New 00Z model runs and Israel Meteorological Service updates today will likely sharpen this outlook ahead of resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 26°C (30.5%) and 27°C (28.5%) for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 1, reflecting genuine uncertainty in forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models, which show peak highs clustering in the mid-20s Celsius amid building high pressure over the eastern Mediterranean. Recent stormy weather through late March has cleared, allowing subsidence warming and reduced cloud cover to drive daytime maxima above the 23°C April 1 historical average, supported by Mediterranean sea surface temperatures around 18°C fueling mild southerly advection. Differentiating factors include boundary layer mixing efficiency and sea breeze onset timing, which could limit peaks at 26°C or allow brief surges to 27°C under prolonged insolation. New 00Z model runs and Israel Meteorological Service updates today will likely sharpen this outlook ahead of resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 26°C (30.5%) and 27°C (28.5%) for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 1, reflecting genuine uncertainty in forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models, which show peak highs clustering in the mid-20s Celsius amid building high pressure over the eastern Mediterranean. Recent stormy weather through late March has cleared, allowing subsidence warming and reduced cloud cover to drive daytime maxima above the 23°C April 1 historical average, supported by Mediterranean sea surface temperatures around 18°C fueling mild southerly advection. Differentiating factors include boundary layer mixing efficiency and sea breeze onset timing, which could limit peaks at 26°C or allow brief surges to 27°C under prolonged insolation. New 00Z model runs and Israel Meteorological Service updates today will likely sharpen this outlook ahead of resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 1?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "26°C" con 31%, seguido de "27°C" con 30%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 31¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 31% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 1?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 29, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 1?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 1?" es "26°C" con 31%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 31% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "27°C" con 30%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 1?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.