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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 4?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 4?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

28°C 22%

29°C or higher 21%

26°C 21%

27°C 19%

Polymarket
NEW

28°C 22%

29°C or higher 21%

26°C 21%

27°C 19%

Polymarket
NEW

19°C or below

$224 Vol.

3%

20°C

$374 Vol.

11%

21°C

$17 Vol.

13%

22°C

$11 Vol.

10%

23°C

$0 Vol.

17%

24°C

$0 Vol.

15%

25°C

$0 Vol.

15%

26°C

$0 Vol.

21%

27°C

$0 Vol.

19%

28°C

$0 Vol.

22%

29°C or higher

$0 Vol.

21%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated March 30, pins the April 4 high temperature at around 27°C under cloudy conditions with 75-95% rain probability from a trough of low pressure bringing showers and thunderstorms, driving closely matched trader sentiment across 27°C (21.5%), 29°C or higher (21.0%), and 28°C (20.0%). Southerly winds support warm advection amid spring's normal to above-normal temperature outlook, influenced by neutral-to-warming ENSO conditions and recent record heat trends, but uncertainty in shower coverage and thunderstorm timing creates model divergence—lighter precipitation could allow brief sunny intervals pushing peaks to 28-29°C, while heavier activity caps them at 25-26°C. Watch HKO's daily updates as troughs evolve over Easter holidays.

Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated March 30, pins the April 4 high temperature at around 27°C under cloudy conditions with 75-95% rain probability from a trough of low pressure bringing showers and thunderstorms, driving closely matched trader sentiment across 27°C (21.5%), 29°C or higher (21.0%), and 28°C (20.0%). Southerly winds support warm advection amid spring's normal to above-normal temperature outlook, influenced by neutral-to-warming ENSO conditions and recent record heat trends, but uncertainty in shower coverage and thunderstorm timing creates model divergence—lighter precipitation could allow brief sunny intervals pushing peaks to 28-29°C, while heavier activity caps them at 25-26°C. Watch HKO's daily updates as troughs evolve over Easter holidays.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated March 30, pins the April 4 high temperature at around 27°C under cloudy conditions with 75-95% rain probability from a trough of low pressure bringing showers and thunderstorms, driving closely matched trader sentiment across 27°C (21.5%), 29°C or higher (21.0%), and 28°C (20.0%). Southerly winds support warm advection amid spring's normal to above-normal temperature outlook, influenced by neutral-to-warming ENSO conditions and recent record heat trends, but uncertainty in shower coverage and thunderstorm timing creates model divergence—lighter precipitation could allow brief sunny intervals pushing peaks to 28-29°C, while heavier activity caps them at 25-26°C. Watch HKO's daily updates as troughs evolve over Easter holidays.

Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated March 30, pins the April 4 high temperature at around 27°C under cloudy conditions with 75-95% rain probability from a trough of low pressure bringing showers and thunderstorms, driving closely matched trader sentiment across 27°C (21.5%), 29°C or higher (21.0%), and 28°C (20.0%). Southerly winds support warm advection amid spring's normal to above-normal temperature outlook, influenced by neutral-to-warming ENSO conditions and recent record heat trends, but uncertainty in shower coverage and thunderstorm timing creates model divergence—lighter precipitation could allow brief sunny intervals pushing peaks to 28-29°C, while heavier activity caps them at 25-26°C. Watch HKO's daily updates as troughs evolve over Easter holidays.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 4?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "28°C" con 22%, seguido de "26°C" con 21%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 22¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 22% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 4?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 29, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 4?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 4?" es "28°C" con 22%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 22% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "26°C" con 21%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 4?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.