Recent updates from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast a high of 25–28°C for Chongqing on April 4, with one model showing multi-cloud conditions at 25°C and another sunny skies pushing 28°C, fueling the tight trader consensus around 25–27°C implied probabilities. This spread reflects model disagreements on cloud cover and southerly airflow, which could cap highs via shading or allow greater solar heating under clearer skies. Early April climatological normals hover at 21–23°C, but a warming trend from high-pressure ridging has elevated expectations above baseline. Traders await daily CMA refinements, as small shifts in boundary layer moisture or wind shear may tip outcomes by 1–2°C before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 4?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 4?
25°C 27%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
28°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
22°C or below
8%
23°C
11%
24°C
14%
25°C
22%
26°C
20%
27°C
18%
28°C
15%
29°C
14%
30°C
11%
31°C
10%
32°C or higher
5%
25°C 27%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
28°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
22°C or below
$112 Vol.
8%
23°C
$94 Vol.
11%
24°C
$10 Vol.
14%
25°C
$10 Vol.
22%
26°C
$10 Vol.
20%
27°C
$10 Vol.
18%
28°C
$10 Vol.
15%
29°C
$10 Vol.
14%
30°C
$10 Vol.
11%
31°C
$10 Vol.
10%
32°C or higher
$40 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent updates from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast a high of 25–28°C for Chongqing on April 4, with one model showing multi-cloud conditions at 25°C and another sunny skies pushing 28°C, fueling the tight trader consensus around 25–27°C implied probabilities. This spread reflects model disagreements on cloud cover and southerly airflow, which could cap highs via shading or allow greater solar heating under clearer skies. Early April climatological normals hover at 21–23°C, but a warming trend from high-pressure ridging has elevated expectations above baseline. Traders await daily CMA refinements, as small shifts in boundary layer moisture or wind shear may tip outcomes by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
Volumen
$327Fecha de finalización
Apr 4, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent updates from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast a high of 25–28°C for Chongqing on April 4, with one model showing multi-cloud conditions at 25°C and another sunny skies pushing 28°C, fueling the tight trader consensus around 25–27°C implied probabilities. This spread reflects model disagreements on cloud cover and southerly airflow, which could cap highs via shading or allow greater solar heating under clearer skies. Early April climatological normals hover at 21–23°C, but a warming trend from high-pressure ridging has elevated expectations above baseline. Traders await daily CMA refinements, as small shifts in boundary layer moisture or wind shear may tip outcomes by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$327Fecha de finalización
Apr 4, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent updates from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast a high of 25–28°C for Chongqing on April 4, with one model showing multi-cloud conditions at 25°C and another sunny skies pushing 28°C, fueling the tight trader consensus around 25–27°C implied probabilities. This spread reflects model disagreements on cloud cover and southerly airflow, which could cap highs via shading or allow greater solar heating under clearer skies. Early April climatological normals hover at 21–23°C, but a warming trend from high-pressure ridging has elevated expectations above baseline. Traders await daily CMA refinements, as small shifts in boundary layer moisture or wind shear may tip outcomes by 1–2°C before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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