Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging around 21–23°C highs for Paris on April 7, driven by a high-pressure ridge ushering southerly winds and warmer air masses after cooler, overcast conditions this week—April 4 observations peaked near 13°C amid 67% precipitation risk. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover (potentially capping peaks at 21°C) versus clearing skies boosting to 23–24°C, with 50% shower odds per long-range models like those on world-weather.info. Historical early-April averages hover at 13–15°C, making this a mild anomaly tied to positive North Atlantic Oscillation influences; new Météo-France updates and hourly observations through April 6 could refine the outlook as resolution hinges on Charles de Gaulle Airport measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on April 7?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 7?
23°C 31%
22°C 21%
21°C 17%
24°C 14%
18°C or below
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
14%
21°C
17%
22°C
21%
23°C
31%
24°C
14%
25°C
6%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
1%
23°C 31%
22°C 21%
21°C 17%
24°C 14%
18°C or below
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
14%
21°C
17%
22°C
21%
23°C
31%
24°C
14%
25°C
6%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 3, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging around 21–23°C highs for Paris on April 7, driven by a high-pressure ridge ushering southerly winds and warmer air masses after cooler, overcast conditions this week—April 4 observations peaked near 13°C amid 67% precipitation risk. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover (potentially capping peaks at 21°C) versus clearing skies boosting to 23–24°C, with 50% shower odds per long-range models like those on world-weather.info. Historical early-April averages hover at 13–15°C, making this a mild anomaly tied to positive North Atlantic Oscillation influences; new Météo-France updates and hourly observations through April 6 could refine the outlook as resolution hinges on Charles de Gaulle Airport measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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