Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued April 1 for Toronto Pearson International Airport—the official measurement site—projects a daytime high of 7°C on April 5 under cloudy skies with a 30-40% chance of showers and east winds gusting to 40 km/h, capping temperatures via reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus remains split, with market-implied odds tightly clustered around 8-12°C, reflecting uncertainty in global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, where some runs suggest partial clearing or warmer southerly flow could boost highs amid typical early-April variability near Lake Ontario. Key differentiators include cloud evolution, shower timing, and boundary-layer mixing; watch for updated guidance tomorrow as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Toronto on April 5?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 5?
12°C or higher 22%
8°C 18%
9°C 17%
11°C 17%
$12,282 Vol.
$12,282 Vol.
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
2%
6°C
7%
7°C
12%
8°C
18%
9°C
17%
10°C
15%
11°C
17%
12°C or higher
22%
12°C or higher 22%
8°C 18%
9°C 17%
11°C 17%
$12,282 Vol.
$12,282 Vol.
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
2%
6°C
7%
7°C
12%
8°C
18%
9°C
17%
10°C
15%
11°C
17%
12°C or higher
22%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued April 1 for Toronto Pearson International Airport—the official measurement site—projects a daytime high of 7°C on April 5 under cloudy skies with a 30-40% chance of showers and east winds gusting to 40 km/h, capping temperatures via reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus remains split, with market-implied odds tightly clustered around 8-12°C, reflecting uncertainty in global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, where some runs suggest partial clearing or warmer southerly flow could boost highs amid typical early-April variability near Lake Ontario. Key differentiators include cloud evolution, shower timing, and boundary-layer mixing; watch for updated guidance tomorrow as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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