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Highest temperature in Munich on April 3?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Munich on April 3?

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

15°C or higher 29%

12°C 24%

11°C 22%

13°C 19%

Polymarket
NEW

15°C or higher 29%

12°C 24%

11°C 22%

13°C 19%

Polymarket
NEW

5°C or below

$146 Vol.

1%

6°C

$135 Vol.

1%

7°C

$16 Vol.

4%

8°C

$0 Vol.

9%

9°C

$0 Vol.

18%

10°C

$0 Vol.

19%

11°C

$0 Vol.

22%

12°C

$0 Vol.

24%

13°C

$1 Vol.

19%

14°C

$0 Vol.

19%

15°C or higher

$0 Vol.

29%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance alongside ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts as of March 29 project Munich highs on April 3 spanning 8–14°C, driving the fragmented trader sentiment with 27% implied probability for 15°C or higher edging out 24% for 12°C and nearby outcomes. This model spread reflects uncertainty in upper-level trough persistence over Central Europe versus potential high-pressure ridging, which could modulate solar insolation and cloud cover amid transitional spring patterns. Early-April climatology at Munich Airport averages 12–13°C daytime maxima, contextualizing the market's central cluster. Daily ECMWF (released 00Z/12Z) and GFS updates, plus DWD ICON runs, remain key catalysts ahead of resolution via official station measurements.

Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance alongside ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts as of March 29 project Munich highs on April 3 spanning 8–14°C, driving the fragmented trader sentiment with 27% implied probability for 15°C or higher edging out 24% for 12°C and nearby outcomes. This model spread reflects uncertainty in upper-level trough persistence over Central Europe versus potential high-pressure ridging, which could modulate solar insolation and cloud cover amid transitional spring patterns. Early-April climatology at Munich Airport averages 12–13°C daytime maxima, contextualizing the market's central cluster. Daily ECMWF (released 00Z/12Z) and GFS updates, plus DWD ICON runs, remain key catalysts ahead of resolution via official station measurements.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance alongside ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts as of March 29 project Munich highs on April 3 spanning 8–14°C, driving the fragmented trader sentiment with 27% implied probability for 15°C or higher edging out 24% for 12°C and nearby outcomes. This model spread reflects uncertainty in upper-level trough persistence over Central Europe versus potential high-pressure ridging, which could modulate solar insolation and cloud cover amid transitional spring patterns. Early-April climatology at Munich Airport averages 12–13°C daytime maxima, contextualizing the market's central cluster. Daily ECMWF (released 00Z/12Z) and GFS updates, plus DWD ICON runs, remain key catalysts ahead of resolution via official station measurements.

Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance alongside ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts as of March 29 project Munich highs on April 3 spanning 8–14°C, driving the fragmented trader sentiment with 27% implied probability for 15°C or higher edging out 24% for 12°C and nearby outcomes. This model spread reflects uncertainty in upper-level trough persistence over Central Europe versus potential high-pressure ridging, which could modulate solar insolation and cloud cover amid transitional spring patterns. Early-April climatology at Munich Airport averages 12–13°C daytime maxima, contextualizing the market's central cluster. Daily ECMWF (released 00Z/12Z) and GFS updates, plus DWD ICON runs, remain key catalysts ahead of resolution via official station measurements.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Munich on April 3?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "15°C or higher" con 28%, seguido de "12°C" con 24%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 28¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 28% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Highest temperature in Munich on April 3?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 29, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Munich on April 3?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Munich on April 3?" es "15°C or higher" con 28%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 28% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "12°C" con 24%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Munich on April 3?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.