Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 41% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature reaching 6°C on March 30, closely tracking the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecast of a 5°C peak at the Munich airport station, the likely resolution source. Persistent cloud cover and northwest winds advecting cool continental air masses have suppressed daytime heating, following yesterday's observed maximum of 4°C amid 88% relative humidity. Light rain or snow showers, as indicated in DWD model output statistics, further limit solar insolation on this variable March day—when climatological highs average 9-10°C but often dip below 6°C under similar synoptic patterns. Hourly DWD observations today, starting near 2°C early morning, will refine trader positioning as potential afternoon clearing could nudge outcomes toward 6-7°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on March 30?
Highest temperature in Munich on March 30?
6°C 38%
5°C 30%
7°C 28%
4°C 9.4%
1°C
<1%
3°C
1%
4°C
9%
5°C
30%
6°C
38%
7°C
28%
8°C
3%
9°C
1%
10°C or higher
1%
6°C 38%
5°C 30%
7°C 28%
4°C 9.4%
1°C
<1%
3°C
1%
4°C
9%
5°C
30%
6°C
38%
7°C
28%
8°C
3%
9°C
1%
10°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 41% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature reaching 6°C on March 30, closely tracking the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecast of a 5°C peak at the Munich airport station, the likely resolution source. Persistent cloud cover and northwest winds advecting cool continental air masses have suppressed daytime heating, following yesterday's observed maximum of 4°C amid 88% relative humidity. Light rain or snow showers, as indicated in DWD model output statistics, further limit solar insolation on this variable March day—when climatological highs average 9-10°C but often dip below 6°C under similar synoptic patterns. Hourly DWD observations today, starting near 2°C early morning, will refine trader positioning as potential afternoon clearing could nudge outcomes toward 6-7°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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