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Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?

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Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?

12°C 100.0%

8°C or below <1%

9°C <1%

10°C <1%

Polymarket

$590,140 Vol.

12°C 100.0%

8°C or below <1%

9°C <1%

10°C <1%

Polymarket

$590,140 Vol.

8°C or below

$35,869 Vol.

No

9°C

$58,209 Vol.

No

10°C

$66,258 Vol.

No

11°C

$74,135 Vol.

No

12°C

$65,923 Vol.

Yes

13°C

$51,048 Vol.

No

14°C

$54,930 Vol.

No

15°C

$51,129 Vol.

No

16°C

$42,148 Vol.

No

17°C

$41,886 Vol.

No

18°C or higher

$48,606 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observational data from Seoul's official weather station confirms the highest temperature on March 28, 2026, peaked at 12°C mid-afternoon, driving the 100% market-implied probability for this outcome as traders price in verified measurements over lingering forecasts. Hazy conditions from Asian dust inflows reduced solar insolation and capped diurnal heating, while light westerly winds around 8 knots and a stable continental high-pressure system maintained a cool air mass, aligning with ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and GFS that converged on low-teens peaks consistent with late-March climatology averaging 10–13°C highs. Realistic challenges, such as a rare post-midnight data revision or overlooked microscale heating at the station, are improbable given the cooling trend and KMA's 5 PM update locking the daily maximum.

Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observational data from Seoul's official weather station confirms the highest temperature on March 28, 2026, peaked at 12°C mid-afternoon, driving the 100% market-implied probability for this outcome as traders price in verified measurements over lingering forecasts. Hazy conditions from Asian dust inflows reduced solar insolation and capped diurnal heating, while light westerly winds around 8 knots and a stable continental high-pressure system maintained a cool air mass, aligning with ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and GFS that converged on low-teens peaks consistent with late-March climatology averaging 10–13°C highs. Realistic challenges, such as a rare post-midnight data revision or overlooked microscale heating at the station, are improbable given the cooling trend and KMA's 5 PM update locking the daily maximum.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observational data from Seoul's official weather station confirms the highest temperature on March 28, 2026, peaked at 12°C mid-afternoon, driving the 100% market-implied probability for this outcome as traders price in verified measurements over lingering forecasts. Hazy conditions from Asian dust inflows reduced solar insolation and capped diurnal heating, while light westerly winds around 8 knots and a stable continental high-pressure system maintained a cool air mass, aligning with ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and GFS that converged on low-teens peaks consistent with late-March climatology averaging 10–13°C highs. Realistic challenges, such as a rare post-midnight data revision or overlooked microscale heating at the station, are improbable given the cooling trend and KMA's 5 PM update locking the daily maximum.

Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observational data from Seoul's official weather station confirms the highest temperature on March 28, 2026, peaked at 12°C mid-afternoon, driving the 100% market-implied probability for this outcome as traders price in verified measurements over lingering forecasts. Hazy conditions from Asian dust inflows reduced solar insolation and capped diurnal heating, while light westerly winds around 8 knots and a stable continental high-pressure system maintained a cool air mass, aligning with ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and GFS that converged on low-teens peaks consistent with late-March climatology averaging 10–13°C highs. Realistic challenges, such as a rare post-midnight data revision or overlooked microscale heating at the station, are improbable given the cooling trend and KMA's 5 PM update locking the daily maximum.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "12°C" con 100%, seguido de "8°C or below" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?" ha generado $590.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 24, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?" es "12°C" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "8°C or below" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.