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Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 29?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

76°F or higher 93%

74-75°F 5%

72-73°F 2.6%

70-71°F <1%

Polymarket

$44,953 Vol.

76°F or higher 93%

74-75°F 5%

72-73°F 2.6%

70-71°F <1%

Polymarket

$44,953 Vol.

57°F or below

$3,957 Vol.

<1%

58-59°F

$2,883 Vol.

<1%

60-61°F

$7,825 Vol.

<1%

62-63°F

$3,621 Vol.

<1%

64-65°F

$4,509 Vol.

<1%

66-67°F

$4,568 Vol.

<1%

68-69°F

$2,758 Vol.

<1%

70-71°F

$4,619 Vol.

<1%

72-73°F

$3,851 Vol.

3%

74-75°F

$3,721 Vol.

5%

76°F or higher

$4,323 Vol.

93%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus implies an 89% probability of a 76°F or higher high temperature at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on March 29, driven by the persistent upper-level ridging fueling subsidence warming amid an unprecedented March heat wave that produced downtown peaks of 90°F on March 20 and 73°F yesterday—well above the 62°F climatological normal. National Weather Service guidance forecasts a high near 71°F under sunny skies with light onshore winds, but minimal marine layer intrusion has allowed stronger daytime heating in recent days, with model ensembles indicating upside potential for coastal advection to limit cooling. Intraday ASOS observations will determine resolution, as typical forecast uncertainty persists near the diurnal peak around 2-4 PM.

Trader consensus implies an 89% probability of a 76°F or higher high temperature at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on March 29, driven by the persistent upper-level ridging fueling subsidence warming amid an unprecedented March heat wave that produced downtown peaks of 90°F on March 20 and 73°F yesterday—well above the 62°F climatological normal. National Weather Service guidance forecasts a high near 71°F under sunny skies with light onshore winds, but minimal marine layer intrusion has allowed stronger daytime heating in recent days, with model ensembles indicating upside potential for coastal advection to limit cooling. Intraday ASOS observations will determine resolution, as typical forecast uncertainty persists near the diurnal peak around 2-4 PM.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus implies an 89% probability of a 76°F or higher high temperature at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on March 29, driven by the persistent upper-level ridging fueling subsidence warming amid an unprecedented March heat wave that produced downtown peaks of 90°F on March 20 and 73°F yesterday—well above the 62°F climatological normal. National Weather Service guidance forecasts a high near 71°F under sunny skies with light onshore winds, but minimal marine layer intrusion has allowed stronger daytime heating in recent days, with model ensembles indicating upside potential for coastal advection to limit cooling. Intraday ASOS observations will determine resolution, as typical forecast uncertainty persists near the diurnal peak around 2-4 PM.

Trader consensus implies an 89% probability of a 76°F or higher high temperature at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on March 29, driven by the persistent upper-level ridging fueling subsidence warming amid an unprecedented March heat wave that produced downtown peaks of 90°F on March 20 and 73°F yesterday—well above the 62°F climatological normal. National Weather Service guidance forecasts a high near 71°F under sunny skies with light onshore winds, but minimal marine layer intrusion has allowed stronger daytime heating in recent days, with model ensembles indicating upside potential for coastal advection to limit cooling. Intraday ASOS observations will determine resolution, as typical forecast uncertainty persists near the diurnal peak around 2-4 PM.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 29?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "76°F or higher" con 93%, seguido de "74-75°F" con 5%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 93¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 93% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 29?" ha generado $45K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 25, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 29?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 29?" es "76°F or higher" con 93%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 93% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "74-75°F" con 5%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 29?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.