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¿La temperatura más alta en París el 29 de marzo?

Market icon

¿La temperatura más alta en París el 29 de marzo?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

12°C 39%

11°C 31%

13°C 16%

10°C 10%

Polymarket

$21,817 Vol.

12°C 39%

11°C 31%

13°C 16%

10°C 10%

Polymarket

$21,817 Vol.

6°C o menos

$1,821 Vol.

<1%

7°C

$1,063 Vol.

<1%

8°C

$1,509 Vol.

<1%

9°C

$1,702 Vol.

2%

10°C

$2,157 Vol.

10%

11°C

$2,073 Vol.

31%

12°C

$2,359 Vol.

39%

13°C

$2,971 Vol.

16%

14°C

$2,030 Vol.

3%

15°C

$1,972 Vol.

2%

16°C o más

$2,359 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France forecasts project a high temperature of 12°C in Paris on March 29 under partly cloudy skies with light rain and northwest winds at 10-20 km/h, anchoring trader sentiment with 38% implied probability on 12°C and 31.5% on 11°C amid model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and high-resolution AROME runs clustering around 11.5°C. Persistent northerly flows following a recent cold snap since March 27 have suppressed daytime insolation, offsetting typical late-March solar elevation despite urban heat effects near official Paris-Montsouris observatory readings. Key differentiators include model spread on afternoon cloud timing—prolonged overcast favoring 11°C, partial clearing pushing toward 13°C (15%)—against historical late-March averages of 13°C. Hourly updates through March 28 and final observations resolve the market.

Latest Météo-France forecasts project a high temperature of 12°C in Paris on March 29 under partly cloudy skies with light rain and northwest winds at 10-20 km/h, anchoring trader sentiment with 38% implied probability on 12°C and 31.5% on 11°C amid model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and high-resolution AROME runs clustering around 11.5°C. Persistent northerly flows following a recent cold snap since March 27 have suppressed daytime insolation, offsetting typical late-March solar elevation despite urban heat effects near official Paris-Montsouris observatory readings. Key differentiators include model spread on afternoon cloud timing—prolonged overcast favoring 11°C, partial clearing pushing toward 13°C (15%)—against historical late-March averages of 13°C. Hourly updates through March 28 and final observations resolve the market.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France forecasts project a high temperature of 12°C in Paris on March 29 under partly cloudy skies with light rain and northwest winds at 10-20 km/h, anchoring trader sentiment with 38% implied probability on 12°C and 31.5% on 11°C amid model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and high-resolution AROME runs clustering around 11.5°C. Persistent northerly flows following a recent cold snap since March 27 have suppressed daytime insolation, offsetting typical late-March solar elevation despite urban heat effects near official Paris-Montsouris observatory readings. Key differentiators include model spread on afternoon cloud timing—prolonged overcast favoring 11°C, partial clearing pushing toward 13°C (15%)—against historical late-March averages of 13°C. Hourly updates through March 28 and final observations resolve the market.

Latest Météo-France forecasts project a high temperature of 12°C in Paris on March 29 under partly cloudy skies with light rain and northwest winds at 10-20 km/h, anchoring trader sentiment with 38% implied probability on 12°C and 31.5% on 11°C amid model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and high-resolution AROME runs clustering around 11.5°C. Persistent northerly flows following a recent cold snap since March 27 have suppressed daytime insolation, offsetting typical late-March solar elevation despite urban heat effects near official Paris-Montsouris observatory readings. Key differentiators include model spread on afternoon cloud timing—prolonged overcast favoring 11°C, partial clearing pushing toward 13°C (15%)—against historical late-March averages of 13°C. Hourly updates through March 28 and final observations resolve the market.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La temperatura más alta en París el 29 de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "12°C" con 39%, seguido de "11°C" con 31%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 39¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 39% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿La temperatura más alta en París el 29 de marzo?" ha generado $21.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 25, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿La temperatura más alta en París el 29 de marzo?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La temperatura más alta en París el 29 de marzo?" es "12°C" con 39%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 39% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "11°C" con 31%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La temperatura más alta en París el 29 de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.