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Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 31

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 31

52-53°F 32%

54-55°F 26%

50-51°F 21%

56-57°F 10%

Polymarket

$46,493 Vol.

52-53°F 32%

54-55°F 26%

50-51°F 21%

56-57°F 10%

Polymarket

$46,493 Vol.

47°F or below

$12,191 Vol.

3%

48-49°F

$3,746 Vol.

5%

50-51°F

$3,790 Vol.

21%

52-53°F

$3,047 Vol.

32%

54-55°F

$3,291 Vol.

26%

56-57°F

$1,887 Vol.

10%

58-59°F

$3,038 Vol.

3%

60-61°F

$2,175 Vol.

1%

62-63°F

$5,224 Vol.

1%

64-65°F

$3,406 Vol.

1%

66°F or higher

$4,730 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 32% implied probability for a 52-53°F high in New York City on March 29, closely trailed by 54-55°F at 25%, reflecting tight forecast model agreement amid inherent short-term uncertainty. The National Weather Service's latest guidance points to highs in the low-to-mid 50s under a building high-pressure ridge promoting mostly sunny skies and light winds, allowing for peak afternoon heating after a cool morning. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences—GFS ensembles trending slightly warmer than ECMWF—with cloud cover variability and exact timing of diurnal warming potentially tipping outcomes between bins. Late March climatology averages ~52°F, but lingering cold air mass post-recent frontal passage caps extremes; evening forecast updates from NOAA may sharpen resolution odds before the daily observation at Central Park.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 32% implied probability for a 52-53°F high in New York City on March 29, closely trailed by 54-55°F at 25%, reflecting tight forecast model agreement amid inherent short-term uncertainty. The National Weather Service's latest guidance points to highs in the low-to-mid 50s under a building high-pressure ridge promoting mostly sunny skies and light winds, allowing for peak afternoon heating after a cool morning. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences—GFS ensembles trending slightly warmer than ECMWF—with cloud cover variability and exact timing of diurnal warming potentially tipping outcomes between bins. Late March climatology averages ~52°F, but lingering cold air mass post-recent frontal passage caps extremes; evening forecast updates from NOAA may sharpen resolution odds before the daily observation at Central Park.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 32% implied probability for a 52-53°F high in New York City on March 29, closely trailed by 54-55°F at 25%, reflecting tight forecast model agreement amid inherent short-term uncertainty. The National Weather Service's latest guidance points to highs in the low-to-mid 50s under a building high-pressure ridge promoting mostly sunny skies and light winds, allowing for peak afternoon heating after a cool morning. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences—GFS ensembles trending slightly warmer than ECMWF—with cloud cover variability and exact timing of diurnal warming potentially tipping outcomes between bins. Late March climatology averages ~52°F, but lingering cold air mass post-recent frontal passage caps extremes; evening forecast updates from NOAA may sharpen resolution odds before the daily observation at Central Park.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 32% implied probability for a 52-53°F high in New York City on March 29, closely trailed by 54-55°F at 25%, reflecting tight forecast model agreement amid inherent short-term uncertainty. The National Weather Service's latest guidance points to highs in the low-to-mid 50s under a building high-pressure ridge promoting mostly sunny skies and light winds, allowing for peak afternoon heating after a cool morning. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences—GFS ensembles trending slightly warmer than ECMWF—with cloud cover variability and exact timing of diurnal warming potentially tipping outcomes between bins. Late March climatology averages ~52°F, but lingering cold air mass post-recent frontal passage caps extremes; evening forecast updates from NOAA may sharpen resolution odds before the daily observation at Central Park.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "52-53°F" con 32%, seguido de "54-55°F" con 26%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 32¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 32% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?" ha generado $46.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 25, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?" es "52-53°F" con 32%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 32% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "54-55°F" con 26%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.