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Highest temperature in Milan on March 28?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Milan on March 28?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

17°C 54%

18°C 30%

16°C 10%

19°C 3.7%

Polymarket

$31,401 Vol.

17°C 54%

18°C 30%

16°C 10%

19°C 3.7%

Polymarket

$31,401 Vol.

13°C

$3,613 Vol.

<1%

14°C

$5,112 Vol.

<1%

15°C

$4,207 Vol.

2%

16°C

$3,137 Vol.

10%

17°C

$2,036 Vol.

54%

18°C

$1,707 Vol.

30%

19°C

$1,445 Vol.

4%

20°C

$2,092 Vol.

<1%

21°C or higher

$1,757 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 17°C (52%) as Milan's highest temperature on March 28, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and ARPA Lombardia, alongside Aeronautica Militare guidance projecting a peak of 17.5°C under high-pressure stability. Clear skies and light winds following mid-week gusts up to 70 km/h have enabled efficient solar heating from morning lows near 7°C, with model consensus centering on afternoon maxima in the 16-18°C range—mild for late March, exceeding the long-term average of 13-14°C. Official observations from Milan Linate Airport, the market resolution source, will track hourly 2m temperatures through evening; minor cloud development or urban effects could nudge outcomes toward 18°C. Watch ARPA updates this afternoon for refinements.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 17°C (52%) as Milan's highest temperature on March 28, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and ARPA Lombardia, alongside Aeronautica Militare guidance projecting a peak of 17.5°C under high-pressure stability. Clear skies and light winds following mid-week gusts up to 70 km/h have enabled efficient solar heating from morning lows near 7°C, with model consensus centering on afternoon maxima in the 16-18°C range—mild for late March, exceeding the long-term average of 13-14°C. Official observations from Milan Linate Airport, the market resolution source, will track hourly 2m temperatures through evening; minor cloud development or urban effects could nudge outcomes toward 18°C. Watch ARPA updates this afternoon for refinements.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 17°C (52%) as Milan's highest temperature on March 28, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and ARPA Lombardia, alongside Aeronautica Militare guidance projecting a peak of 17.5°C under high-pressure stability. Clear skies and light winds following mid-week gusts up to 70 km/h have enabled efficient solar heating from morning lows near 7°C, with model consensus centering on afternoon maxima in the 16-18°C range—mild for late March, exceeding the long-term average of 13-14°C. Official observations from Milan Linate Airport, the market resolution source, will track hourly 2m temperatures through evening; minor cloud development or urban effects could nudge outcomes toward 18°C. Watch ARPA updates this afternoon for refinements.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 17°C (52%) as Milan's highest temperature on March 28, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and ARPA Lombardia, alongside Aeronautica Militare guidance projecting a peak of 17.5°C under high-pressure stability. Clear skies and light winds following mid-week gusts up to 70 km/h have enabled efficient solar heating from morning lows near 7°C, with model consensus centering on afternoon maxima in the 16-18°C range—mild for late March, exceeding the long-term average of 13-14°C. Official observations from Milan Linate Airport, the market resolution source, will track hourly 2m temperatures through evening; minor cloud development or urban effects could nudge outcomes toward 18°C. Watch ARPA updates this afternoon for refinements.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Milan on March 28?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "17°C" con 54%, seguido de "18°C" con 30%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 54¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 54% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Highest temperature in Milan on March 28?" ha generado $31.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 24, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Milan on March 28?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Milan on March 28?" es "17°C" con 54%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 54% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "18°C" con 30%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Milan on March 28?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.