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¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 28 de marzo?

Market icon

¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 28 de marzo?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

17°C 59%

18°C 27%

16°C 12%

19°C 9.4%

Polymarket

$50,507 Vol.

17°C 59%

18°C 27%

16°C 12%

19°C 9.4%

Polymarket

$50,507 Vol.

13°C o menos

$5,063 Vol.

<1%

14°C

$5,313 Vol.

1%

15°C

$6,527 Vol.

2%

16°C

$5,655 Vol.

12%

17°C

$4,534 Vol.

59%

18°C

$4,801 Vol.

27%

19°C

$5,050 Vol.

9%

20°C

$4,448 Vol.

2%

21°C

$3,639 Vol.

<1%

22°C

$2,980 Vol.

<1%

23°C o más

$2,503 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest AEMET forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble model runs project a maximum temperature of 16.5–18.5°C at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport today, positioning 17°C as the trader consensus at 53% implied probability amid short-range uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating. Yesterday's observed high of 18.9°C under a high-pressure ridge with mild southerly flows has given way to subtle cooling from increased northerly airflow delivering drier continental air masses, partially offsetting enhanced solar insolation under lighter cloud cover while moderating urban heat island effects. Late-March climatological averages hover near 16°C, with historical highs rarely exceeding 20°C; new 12Z model updates and real-time observations this afternoon could shift the balance toward 18°C (22.5%) or lower outcomes.

Latest AEMET forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble model runs project a maximum temperature of 16.5–18.5°C at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport today, positioning 17°C as the trader consensus at 53% implied probability amid short-range uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating. Yesterday's observed high of 18.9°C under a high-pressure ridge with mild southerly flows has given way to subtle cooling from increased northerly airflow delivering drier continental air masses, partially offsetting enhanced solar insolation under lighter cloud cover while moderating urban heat island effects. Late-March climatological averages hover near 16°C, with historical highs rarely exceeding 20°C; new 12Z model updates and real-time observations this afternoon could shift the balance toward 18°C (22.5%) or lower outcomes.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest AEMET forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble model runs project a maximum temperature of 16.5–18.5°C at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport today, positioning 17°C as the trader consensus at 53% implied probability amid short-range uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating. Yesterday's observed high of 18.9°C under a high-pressure ridge with mild southerly flows has given way to subtle cooling from increased northerly airflow delivering drier continental air masses, partially offsetting enhanced solar insolation under lighter cloud cover while moderating urban heat island effects. Late-March climatological averages hover near 16°C, with historical highs rarely exceeding 20°C; new 12Z model updates and real-time observations this afternoon could shift the balance toward 18°C (22.5%) or lower outcomes.

Latest AEMET forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble model runs project a maximum temperature of 16.5–18.5°C at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport today, positioning 17°C as the trader consensus at 53% implied probability amid short-range uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating. Yesterday's observed high of 18.9°C under a high-pressure ridge with mild southerly flows has given way to subtle cooling from increased northerly airflow delivering drier continental air masses, partially offsetting enhanced solar insolation under lighter cloud cover while moderating urban heat island effects. Late-March climatological averages hover near 16°C, with historical highs rarely exceeding 20°C; new 12Z model updates and real-time observations this afternoon could shift the balance toward 18°C (22.5%) or lower outcomes.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 28 de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "17°C" con 59%, seguido de "18°C" con 27%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 59¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 59% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 28 de marzo?" ha generado $50.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 24, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 28 de marzo?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 28 de marzo?" es "17°C" con 59%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 59% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "18°C" con 27%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 28 de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.