The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD)'s latest local forecast, issued March 27 for Lucknow Airport, projects a maximum temperature of precisely 33°C today under partly cloudy skies transitioning to mainly clear, aligning with trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability. This positioning reflects yesterday's observed max of 30.6°C—below normal—amid lingering cooler air masses, with gradual warming expected per IMD's northwest India outlook, but constrained by seasonal norms and minimal solar heating potential early in March's pre-monsoon buildup. Historical March peaks average 32–34°C, supporting the tight clustering around 33°C from model consensus. Realistic challenges include prolonged intense sunshine boosting surface heating by 1–2°C or urban heat island effects at non-airport stations, though official hourly observations today will confirm resolution amid low uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$63,277 Vol.
$63,277 Vol.
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$63,277 Vol.
$63,277 Vol.
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD)'s latest local forecast, issued March 27 for Lucknow Airport, projects a maximum temperature of precisely 33°C today under partly cloudy skies transitioning to mainly clear, aligning with trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability. This positioning reflects yesterday's observed max of 30.6°C—below normal—amid lingering cooler air masses, with gradual warming expected per IMD's northwest India outlook, but constrained by seasonal norms and minimal solar heating potential early in March's pre-monsoon buildup. Historical March peaks average 32–34°C, supporting the tight clustering around 33°C from model consensus. Realistic challenges include prolonged intense sunshine boosting surface heating by 1–2°C or urban heat island effects at non-airport stations, though official hourly observations today will confirm resolution amid low uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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