Trader consensus favors a high of 34°C or below at 31%, with 35–37°C outcomes tightly clustered around 18–24%, reflecting IMD forecasts pinning Lucknow's March 29 maximum near 36°C amid persistent clear skies and continental tropical airflow. Recent developments, including a 2–3°C rise over the past week from soil heating and low humidity, boost odds for 36–37°C, while lingering winter haze or afternoon clouds could cap it at 34–35°C—key differentiators in ensemble models. Historical late-March norms average 33–35°C, but urban heat island effects in Lucknow add 1–2°C upside risk, underscoring model spread as traders await hourly updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 29 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 29 de marzo?
34°C o menos 37%
35°C 24%
36°C 18%
37°C 17%
34°C o menos
37%
35°C
24%
36°C
18%
37°C
17%
38°C
12%
39°C
9%
40°C
13%
41°C
7%
42°C
7%
43°C
4%
44°C o más
1%
34°C o menos 37%
35°C 24%
36°C 18%
37°C 17%
34°C o menos
37%
35°C
24%
36°C
18%
37°C
17%
38°C
12%
39°C
9%
40°C
13%
41°C
7%
42°C
7%
43°C
4%
44°C o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a high of 34°C or below at 31%, with 35–37°C outcomes tightly clustered around 18–24%, reflecting IMD forecasts pinning Lucknow's March 29 maximum near 36°C amid persistent clear skies and continental tropical airflow. Recent developments, including a 2–3°C rise over the past week from soil heating and low humidity, boost odds for 36–37°C, while lingering winter haze or afternoon clouds could cap it at 34–35°C—key differentiators in ensemble models. Historical late-March norms average 33–35°C, but urban heat island effects in Lucknow add 1–2°C upside risk, underscoring model spread as traders await hourly updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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