Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 67°F or below in Los Angeles on March 28, driven by official observations from Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the market's resolution source, recording a verified daily maximum of 66°F amid persistent marine layer clouds, haze, and mist that capped daytime heating. This marks a sharp cooldown from the historic mid-March heat wave, when downtown LA shattered records exceeding 90°F for multiple days, as high-pressure ridging gave way to cooler onshore flow and overcast skies aligning with NOAA climatological normals for late March around 68°F. With the full day's automated surface observing system data finalized via Weather Underground archives, realistic challenges would require an unprecedented revision to preliminary readings, though such adjustments are exceedingly rare post-verification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on March 28?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 28?
67°F or below 100.0%
76-77°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$102,374 Vol.
$102,374 Vol.
67°F or below
100%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
67°F or below 100.0%
76-77°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$102,374 Vol.
$102,374 Vol.
67°F or below
100%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 67°F or below in Los Angeles on March 28, driven by official observations from Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the market's resolution source, recording a verified daily maximum of 66°F amid persistent marine layer clouds, haze, and mist that capped daytime heating. This marks a sharp cooldown from the historic mid-March heat wave, when downtown LA shattered records exceeding 90°F for multiple days, as high-pressure ridging gave way to cooler onshore flow and overcast skies aligning with NOAA climatological normals for late March around 68°F. With the full day's automated surface observing system data finalized via Weather Underground archives, realistic challenges would require an unprecedented revision to preliminary readings, though such adjustments are exceedingly rare post-verification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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