Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 13°C as London's highest temperature on March 22, driven by the latest Met Office forecast predicting a maximum of 13°C under persistent cloud cover and light winds from the northwest. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS align closely, showing capped daytime heating due to a stable high-pressure ridge overhead, consistent with historical March norms where London rarely exceeds 14°C without sunny spells. Recent updates confirm no warm air advection, solidifying market-implied odds near 100%. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen clearance of clouds or a sudden southerly breeze pushing air masses northward, though upper-air patterns make this improbable without major model revisions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 22 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 22 de marzo?
13°C 100.0%
7°C o menos <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 22, 2026
7°C o menos
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Sí
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C o más
No
13°C 100.0%
7°C o menos <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 22, 2026
7°C o menos
$0 Vol.
No
8°C
$0 Vol.
No
9°C
$0 Vol.
No
10°C
$0 Vol.
No
11°C
$0 Vol.
No
12°C
$0 Vol.
No
13°C
$0 Vol.
Sí
14°C
$0 Vol.
No
15°C
$0 Vol.
No
16°C
$0 Vol.
No
17°C o más
$0 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 13°C as London's highest temperature on March 22, driven by the latest Met Office forecast predicting a maximum of 13°C under persistent cloud cover and light winds from the northwest. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS align closely, showing capped daytime heating due to a stable high-pressure ridge overhead, consistent with historical March norms where London rarely exceeds 14°C without sunny spells. Recent updates confirm no warm air advection, solidifying market-implied odds near 100%. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen clearance of clouds or a sudden southerly breeze pushing air masses northward, though upper-air patterns make this improbable without major model revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 18, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Mar 22, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 18, 2026, 6:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 13°C as London's highest temperature on March 22, driven by the latest Met Office forecast predicting a maximum of 13°C under persistent cloud cover and light winds from the northwest. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS align closely, showing capped daytime heating due to a stable high-pressure ridge overhead, consistent with historical March norms where London rarely exceeds 14°C without sunny spells. Recent updates confirm no warm air advection, solidifying market-implied odds near 100%. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen clearance of clouds or a sudden southerly breeze pushing air masses northward, though upper-air patterns make this improbable without major model revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Mar 22, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 18, 2026, 6:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 13°C as London's highest temperature on March 22, driven by the latest Met Office forecast predicting a maximum of 13°C under persistent cloud cover and light winds from the northwest. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS align closely, showing capped daytime heating due to a stable high-pressure ridge overhead, consistent with historical March norms where London rarely exceeds 14°C without sunny spells. Recent updates confirm no warm air advection, solidifying market-implied odds near 100%. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen clearance of clouds or a sudden southerly breeze pushing air masses northward, though upper-air patterns make this improbable without major model revisions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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