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Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?

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Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

62-63°F 24%

64-65°F 20%

60-61°F 17%

58-59°F 14%

Polymarket

$31,330 Vol.

62-63°F 24%

64-65°F 20%

60-61°F 17%

58-59°F 14%

Polymarket

$31,330 Vol.

53°F o menos

$5,974 Vol.

1%

54-55°F

$2,158 Vol.

1%

56-57°F

$3,430 Vol.

5%

58-59°F

$2,157 Vol.

14%

60-61°F

$1,874 Vol.

17%

62-63°F

$1,674 Vol.

24%

64-65°F

$2,157 Vol.

20%

66-67°F

$2,187 Vol.

11%

68-69°F

$2,493 Vol.

9%

70-71°F

$2,816 Vol.

2%

72°F or higher

$4,410 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and GFS indicate Chicago O'Hare International Airport's high temperature on March 29 clustering in the low to mid-60s°F, with a consensus around 62°F under partly sunny skies and south-southwest winds of 10-20 mph advecting warmer air from the south ahead of an approaching ridge. This mild outlook—well above the late-March climatological normal of 52°F amid neutral La Niña conditions—explains the tight trader sentiment favoring 62-63°F (23.5% implied probability) over adjacent bins, as minor differences hinge on peak afternoon heating, cloud cover variability, and boundary layer mixing efficiency. Evening 00Z model runs and NWS updates could refine these trajectories before resolution based on official O'Hare ASOS observations.

Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and GFS indicate Chicago O'Hare International Airport's high temperature on March 29 clustering in the low to mid-60s°F, with a consensus around 62°F under partly sunny skies and south-southwest winds of 10-20 mph advecting warmer air from the south ahead of an approaching ridge. This mild outlook—well above the late-March climatological normal of 52°F amid neutral La Niña conditions—explains the tight trader sentiment favoring 62-63°F (23.5% implied probability) over adjacent bins, as minor differences hinge on peak afternoon heating, cloud cover variability, and boundary layer mixing efficiency. Evening 00Z model runs and NWS updates could refine these trajectories before resolution based on official O'Hare ASOS observations.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and GFS indicate Chicago O'Hare International Airport's high temperature on March 29 clustering in the low to mid-60s°F, with a consensus around 62°F under partly sunny skies and south-southwest winds of 10-20 mph advecting warmer air from the south ahead of an approaching ridge. This mild outlook—well above the late-March climatological normal of 52°F amid neutral La Niña conditions—explains the tight trader sentiment favoring 62-63°F (23.5% implied probability) over adjacent bins, as minor differences hinge on peak afternoon heating, cloud cover variability, and boundary layer mixing efficiency. Evening 00Z model runs and NWS updates could refine these trajectories before resolution based on official O'Hare ASOS observations.

Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and GFS indicate Chicago O'Hare International Airport's high temperature on March 29 clustering in the low to mid-60s°F, with a consensus around 62°F under partly sunny skies and south-southwest winds of 10-20 mph advecting warmer air from the south ahead of an approaching ridge. This mild outlook—well above the late-March climatological normal of 52°F amid neutral La Niña conditions—explains the tight trader sentiment favoring 62-63°F (23.5% implied probability) over adjacent bins, as minor differences hinge on peak afternoon heating, cloud cover variability, and boundary layer mixing efficiency. Evening 00Z model runs and NWS updates could refine these trajectories before resolution based on official O'Hare ASOS observations.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "62-63°F" con 24%, seguido de "64-65°F" con 20%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 24¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?" ha generado $31.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 25, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?" es "62-63°F" con 24%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "64-65°F" con 20%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.