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Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?

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Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?

62-63°F 28%

60-61°F 21%

64-65°F 20%

58-59°F 15%

Polymarket

$21,109 Vol.

62-63°F 28%

60-61°F 21%

64-65°F 20%

58-59°F 15%

Polymarket

$21,109 Vol.

53°F o menos

$4,798 Vol.

1%

54-55°F

$1,456 Vol.

1%

56-57°F

$2,286 Vol.

4%

58-59°F

$1,732 Vol.

15%

60-61°F

$1,620 Vol.

21%

62-63°F

$1,221 Vol.

28%

64-65°F

$1,159 Vol.

20%

66-67°F

$1,279 Vol.

5%

68-69°F

$1,209 Vol.

2%

70-71°F

$1,896 Vol.

1%

72°F or higher

$3,162 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance forecasts a high near 62°F at Chicago O'Hare on March 29 under partly sunny skies and light south-southwest winds around 10 mph, anchoring trader sentiment in the closely bunched 60-65°F outcomes where 62-63°F leads at 26.5% implied probability. Ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models cluster tightly within a 2-5°F spread around 61-63°F, but divergences in afternoon boundary layer mixing, insolation penetration through variable cloud decks, and peak heating timing create genuine uncertainty differentiating adjacent bins. This mild outlook exceeds the late-March climatological normal of 52°F during neutral-to-weak La Niña conditions, rebounding from recent northerly cool-downs after early-month highs in the 70s. Watch evening 00Z model updates for potential refinements ahead of resolution.

National Weather Service guidance forecasts a high near 62°F at Chicago O'Hare on March 29 under partly sunny skies and light south-southwest winds around 10 mph, anchoring trader sentiment in the closely bunched 60-65°F outcomes where 62-63°F leads at 26.5% implied probability. Ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models cluster tightly within a 2-5°F spread around 61-63°F, but divergences in afternoon boundary layer mixing, insolation penetration through variable cloud decks, and peak heating timing create genuine uncertainty differentiating adjacent bins. This mild outlook exceeds the late-March climatological normal of 52°F during neutral-to-weak La Niña conditions, rebounding from recent northerly cool-downs after early-month highs in the 70s. Watch evening 00Z model updates for potential refinements ahead of resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance forecasts a high near 62°F at Chicago O'Hare on March 29 under partly sunny skies and light south-southwest winds around 10 mph, anchoring trader sentiment in the closely bunched 60-65°F outcomes where 62-63°F leads at 26.5% implied probability. Ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models cluster tightly within a 2-5°F spread around 61-63°F, but divergences in afternoon boundary layer mixing, insolation penetration through variable cloud decks, and peak heating timing create genuine uncertainty differentiating adjacent bins. This mild outlook exceeds the late-March climatological normal of 52°F during neutral-to-weak La Niña conditions, rebounding from recent northerly cool-downs after early-month highs in the 70s. Watch evening 00Z model updates for potential refinements ahead of resolution.

National Weather Service guidance forecasts a high near 62°F at Chicago O'Hare on March 29 under partly sunny skies and light south-southwest winds around 10 mph, anchoring trader sentiment in the closely bunched 60-65°F outcomes where 62-63°F leads at 26.5% implied probability. Ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models cluster tightly within a 2-5°F spread around 61-63°F, but divergences in afternoon boundary layer mixing, insolation penetration through variable cloud decks, and peak heating timing create genuine uncertainty differentiating adjacent bins. This mild outlook exceeds the late-March climatological normal of 52°F during neutral-to-weak La Niña conditions, rebounding from recent northerly cool-downs after early-month highs in the 70s. Watch evening 00Z model updates for potential refinements ahead of resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "62-63°F" con 28%, seguido de "60-61°F" con 21%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 28¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 28% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?" ha generado $21.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 25, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?" es "62-63°F" con 28%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 28% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "60-61°F" con 21%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.