National Weather Service guidance forecasts a high near 62°F at Chicago O'Hare on March 29 under partly sunny skies and light south-southwest winds around 10 mph, anchoring trader sentiment in the closely bunched 60-65°F outcomes where 62-63°F leads at 26.5% implied probability. Ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models cluster tightly within a 2-5°F spread around 61-63°F, but divergences in afternoon boundary layer mixing, insolation penetration through variable cloud decks, and peak heating timing create genuine uncertainty differentiating adjacent bins. This mild outlook exceeds the late-March climatological normal of 52°F during neutral-to-weak La Niña conditions, rebounding from recent northerly cool-downs after early-month highs in the 70s. Watch evening 00Z model updates for potential refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chicago on March 29?
Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?
62-63°F 28%
60-61°F 21%
64-65°F 20%
58-59°F 15%
$21,109 Vol.
$21,109 Vol.
53°F o menos
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
4%
58-59°F
15%
60-61°F
21%
62-63°F
28%
64-65°F
20%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
1%
72°F or higher
1%
62-63°F 28%
60-61°F 21%
64-65°F 20%
58-59°F 15%
$21,109 Vol.
$21,109 Vol.
53°F o menos
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
4%
58-59°F
15%
60-61°F
21%
62-63°F
28%
64-65°F
20%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
1%
72°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance forecasts a high near 62°F at Chicago O'Hare on March 29 under partly sunny skies and light south-southwest winds around 10 mph, anchoring trader sentiment in the closely bunched 60-65°F outcomes where 62-63°F leads at 26.5% implied probability. Ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models cluster tightly within a 2-5°F spread around 61-63°F, but divergences in afternoon boundary layer mixing, insolation penetration through variable cloud decks, and peak heating timing create genuine uncertainty differentiating adjacent bins. This mild outlook exceeds the late-March climatological normal of 52°F during neutral-to-weak La Niña conditions, rebounding from recent northerly cool-downs after early-month highs in the 70s. Watch evening 00Z model updates for potential refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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