Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 29, with the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projecting a maximum around 30°C amid a persistent upper-level ridge advecting warm subtropical air masses—elevating readings above the late-March climatological average of 25–26°C at Ministro Pistarini International Airport. Recent overnight fog, 94% humidity, and 3.8 mm rain on March 28 have introduced cloud cover variability, potentially capping peaks at 28–29°C if sea breezes strengthen, while model ensembles like GFS show slight divergence in peak heating timing. Historical March 29 highs average 26°C, but this warm anomaly boosts 29–31°C probabilities; watch SMN updates today for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?
29°C 27%
30°C 24%
28°C 21%
31°C 15%
$38,473 Vol.
$38,473 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
21%
29°C
27%
30°C
24%
31°C
15%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 27%
30°C 24%
28°C 21%
31°C 15%
$38,473 Vol.
$38,473 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
21%
29°C
27%
30°C
24%
31°C
15%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 29, with the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projecting a maximum around 30°C amid a persistent upper-level ridge advecting warm subtropical air masses—elevating readings above the late-March climatological average of 25–26°C at Ministro Pistarini International Airport. Recent overnight fog, 94% humidity, and 3.8 mm rain on March 28 have introduced cloud cover variability, potentially capping peaks at 28–29°C if sea breezes strengthen, while model ensembles like GFS show slight divergence in peak heating timing. Historical March 29 highs average 26°C, but this warm anomaly boosts 29–31°C probabilities; watch SMN updates today for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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