Consensus weather forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models like ECMWF point to a daytime high of 11°C in Ankara on March 22, anchoring the 68.5% implied probability as traders weigh mild spring conditions in the city's continental climate. Recent observations show morning lows near 4-5°C with partly cloudy skies limiting solar heating, while historical March maxima average 12°C but recent model runs have converged downward due to cooler northerly flows. The 19.5% odds on 12°C reflect residual upside risk from potential clearing, but slim chances for 13°C or higher stem from low wind shear and stable upper-air patterns, with resolution hinging on official airport measurements by midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on March 22?
Highest temperature in Ankara on March 22?
11°C 64%
12°C 24%
10°C 2.8%
13°C 2.3%
$221,971 Vol.
$221,971 Vol.
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
3%
11°C
64%
12°C
24%
13°C
2%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
1%
11°C 64%
12°C 24%
10°C 2.8%
13°C 2.3%
$221,971 Vol.
$221,971 Vol.
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
3%
11°C
64%
12°C
24%
13°C
2%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Consensus weather forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models like ECMWF point to a daytime high of 11°C in Ankara on March 22, anchoring the 68.5% implied probability as traders weigh mild spring conditions in the city's continental climate. Recent observations show morning lows near 4-5°C with partly cloudy skies limiting solar heating, while historical March maxima average 12°C but recent model runs have converged downward due to cooler northerly flows. The 19.5% odds on 12°C reflect residual upside risk from potential clearing, but slim chances for 13°C or higher stem from low wind shear and stable upper-air patterns, with resolution hinging on official airport measurements by midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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