Funding lapse without government shutdown?
$207,240 Vol.
$207,240 Vol.
Oct 1, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on October 1 (ET) a U.S government funding lapse occurs, but the Government does NOT shut down. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A funding lapse is defined as the President failing to sign the relevant bill(s) extending government funding by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. If a bill extending the funding of the U.S. government is passed and signed by the acting President before October 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The government will be considered to have shutdown if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations on October 1, 2025 ET. If the Office of Personnel Management announces a partial shutdown this will count, however announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather will not qualify.
The primary resolution for this source will be official information from the US government, specifically the website of the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).This market will resolve to "Yes" if on October 1 (ET) a U.S government funding lapse occurs, but the Government does NOT shut down. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A funding lapse is defined as the President failing to sign the relevant bill(s) extending government funding by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. If a bill extending the funding of the U.S. government is passed and signed by the acting President before October 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The government will be considered to have shutdown if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations on October 1, 2025 ET. If the Office of Personnel Management announces a partial shutdown this will count, however announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather will not qualify.
The primary resolution for this source will be official information from the US government, specifically the website of the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
A funding lapse is defined as the President failing to sign the relevant bill(s) extending government funding by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. If a bill extending the funding of the U.S. government is passed and signed by the acting President before October 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The government will be considered to have shutdown if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations on October 1, 2025 ET. If the Office of Personnel Management announces a partial shutdown this will count, however announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather will not qualify.
The primary resolution for this source will be official information from the US government, specifically the website of the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
Creado en: Sep 23, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
Volumen
$207,240Fecha de finalización
Oct 1, 2025Creado en
Sep 23, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Funding lapse without government shutdown?
$207,240 Vol.
$207,240 Vol.
Oct 1, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on October 1 (ET) a U.S government funding lapse occurs, but the Government does NOT shut down. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A funding lapse is defined as the President failing to sign the relevant bill(s) extending government funding by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. If a bill extending the funding of the U.S. government is passed and signed by the acting President before October 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The government will be considered to have shutdown if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations on October 1, 2025 ET. If the Office of Personnel Management announces a partial shutdown this will count, however announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather will not qualify.
The primary resolution for this source will be official information from the US government, specifically the website of the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).This market will resolve to "Yes" if on October 1 (ET) a U.S government funding lapse occurs, but the Government does NOT shut down. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A funding lapse is defined as the President failing to sign the relevant bill(s) extending government funding by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. If a bill extending the funding of the U.S. government is passed and signed by the acting President before October 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The government will be considered to have shutdown if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations on October 1, 2025 ET. If the Office of Personnel Management announces a partial shutdown this will count, however announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather will not qualify.
The primary resolution for this source will be official information from the US government, specifically the website of the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
A funding lapse is defined as the President failing to sign the relevant bill(s) extending government funding by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. If a bill extending the funding of the U.S. government is passed and signed by the acting President before October 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The government will be considered to have shutdown if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations on October 1, 2025 ET. If the Office of Personnel Management announces a partial shutdown this will count, however announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather will not qualify.
The primary resolution for this source will be official information from the US government, specifically the website of the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
Volumen
$207,240Fecha de finalización
Oct 1, 2025Creado en
Sep 23, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Frequently Asked Questions
"Funding lapse without government shutdown? " is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Funding lapse without government shutdown? " has generated $207.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Funding lapse without government shutdown? ," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current probability for "Funding lapse without government shutdown? " is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.
The resolution rules for "Funding lapse without government shutdown? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Frequently Asked Questions