Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 360-379 tweets by Elon Musk from March 17-24, 2026, at virtually 100% implied probability, driven by his sustained high-volume posting patterns on X, averaging 45-55 posts daily in recent months amid political commentary, SpaceX updates, and xAI developments. Historical data from high-activity weeks, including surges around government advisory roles and international diplomacy, consistently cluster in this range, reflecting the platform's role in his public communication strategy. Scenarios challenging this include reduced engagement from policy shifts at X, health-related pauses, or competing priorities like Tesla production ramps, potentially dropping totals below 360; escalated controversies could push toward 400+. Upcoming events like regulatory hearings may influence near-term pacing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 17 al 24 de marzo de 2026?
¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 17 al 24 de marzo de 2026?
360-379 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
Sí
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500-519
No
520-539
No
540-559
No
560-579
No
580+
No
360-379 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
Sí
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500-519
No
520-539
No
540-559
No
560-579
No
580+
No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Mar 9, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 360-379 tweets by Elon Musk from March 17-24, 2026, at virtually 100% implied probability, driven by his sustained high-volume posting patterns on X, averaging 45-55 posts daily in recent months amid political commentary, SpaceX updates, and xAI developments. Historical data from high-activity weeks, including surges around government advisory roles and international diplomacy, consistently cluster in this range, reflecting the platform's role in his public communication strategy. Scenarios challenging this include reduced engagement from policy shifts at X, health-related pauses, or competing priorities like Tesla production ramps, potentially dropping totals below 360; escalated controversies could push toward 400+. Upcoming events like regulatory hearings may influence near-term pacing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes