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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028

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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.1%

Jon Ossoff 5.3%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$978,015,847 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.1%

Jon Ossoff 5.3%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$978,015,847 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$18,776,673 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$7,970,288 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$7,267,989 Vol.

5%

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Kamala Harris

$9,135,341 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,761,451 Vol.

4%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Josh Shapiro

$6,214,490 Vol.

4%

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James Talarico

$5,694,542 Vol.

3%

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Jon Stewart

$12,413,370 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$12,936,495 Vol.

2%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Andy Beshear

$7,840,219 Vol.

2%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Mark Kelly

$11,957,516 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$5,419,123 Vol.

2%

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Rubén Gallego

$3,757,562 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$15,002,139 Vol.

1%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,440,466 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Michelle Obama

$22,114,222 Vol.

1%

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Wes Moore

$13,856,531 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,612,959 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$18,094,922 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$9,205,990 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Oprah Winfrey

$43,994,572 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$17,216,935 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Liz Cheney

$33,749,667 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,304,798 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,877,228 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,558,784 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$26,497,694 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,642,089 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$37,312,859 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Zohran Mamdani

$33,342,416 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$43,007,469 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$39,050,399 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,742,452 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$25,648,087 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$38,229,028 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem de grupo: Raphael Warnock

$26,399,915 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$28,145,420 Vol.

1%

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Tedtulo del edtem del grupo: Kim Kardashian

$33,706,287 Vol.

1%

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Título del grupo: Jared Polis

$20,323,228 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$34,401,264 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Jasmine Crockett

$23,945,647 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$40,241,751 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$32,814,432 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$32,411,801 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination at 24.3%, reflecting recent polling dominance including a March POLITICO survey showing him trouncing Kamala Harris in their home-state primary and edges in national surveys from Emerson and others, bolstered by his executive experience, fundraising prowess, and vocal opposition to Trump policies. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.1% amid her progressive appeal, amplified by her recent pledge to oppose all U.S. military aid to Israel, differentiating her from moderates. The wide-open field, with Harris at 4.3% post-2024 defeat and others fragmented, underscores uncertainty; 2026 midterms, economic conditions under Trump, and early endorsements could consolidate support behind a frontrunner.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$978,015,847
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination at 24.3%, reflecting recent polling dominance including a March POLITICO survey showing him trouncing Kamala Harris in their home-state primary and edges in national surveys from Emerson and others, bolstered by his executive experience, fundraising prowess, and vocal opposition to Trump policies. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.1% amid her progressive appeal, amplified by her recent pledge to oppose all U.S. military aid to Israel, differentiating her from moderates. The wide-open field, with Harris at 4.3% post-2024 defeat and others fragmented, underscores uncertainty; 2026 midterms, economic conditions under Trump, and early endorsements could consolidate support behind a frontrunner.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$978,015,847
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 44+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Gavin Newsom" con 24%, seguido de "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 24¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" ha generado $978 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028", explora los 44+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" es "Gavin Newsom" con 24%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" con 8%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.