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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028

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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.1%

Jon Ossoff 9.0%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.1%

Kamala Harris 4.2%

Polymarket

$981,024,450 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.1%

Jon Ossoff 9.0%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.1%

Kamala Harris 4.2%

Polymarket

$981,024,450 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$18,934,277 Vol.

24%

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Jon Ossoff

$7,428,505 Vol.

9%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$8,331,876 Vol.

8%

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Kamala Harris

$9,142,611 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,771,263 Vol.

4%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Josh Shapiro

$6,225,488 Vol.

4%

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Stephen A. Smith

$15,451,088 Vol.

2%

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James Talarico

$5,703,503 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$12,834,801 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$12,951,783 Vol.

2%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Andy Beshear

$7,853,050 Vol.

2%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Mark Kelly

$11,965,797 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$5,554,883 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,453,766 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Michelle Obama

$22,131,010 Vol.

1%

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Rubén Gallego

$3,765,086 Vol.

1%

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Wes Moore

$13,860,557 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,620,670 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$18,108,266 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$9,312,146 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Oprah Winfrey

$44,003,221 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$17,225,207 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Liz Cheney

$33,763,169 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,340,086 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,900,751 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,577,472 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$25,830,463 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem de grupo: Raphael Warnock

$26,412,061 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$26,504,955 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,650,565 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$37,321,476 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Zohran Mamdani

$33,359,418 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$43,020,754 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$39,061,772 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,755,529 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$38,246,176 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$28,183,846 Vol.

1%

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Tedtulo del edtem del grupo: Kim Kardashian

$33,750,427 Vol.

1%

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Título del grupo: Jared Polis

$20,390,635 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$34,489,651 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Jasmine Crockett

$24,149,055 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$40,297,531 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$32,876,655 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$32,536,993 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24.1% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, buoyed by his national profile, repeated hints at a post-midterm bid, and early primary polling averages placing him near the top amid the party's post-2024 reckoning. Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff trails at 9.4%, gaining from bipartisan appeal in the battleground state ahead of his 2026 re-election, while Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez holds 8.0% on progressive enthusiasm and hypothetical general election polls showing strength against VP JD Vance—though pragmatists mobilize to curb her rise. Diverging from some polling averages favoring Kamala Harris, markets reflect skin-in-the-game skepticism of prior leadership; consolidation could hinge on midterm outcomes, fundraising edges, and endorsements from swing-state victories.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$981,024,450
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24.1% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, buoyed by his national profile, repeated hints at a post-midterm bid, and early primary polling averages placing him near the top amid the party's post-2024 reckoning. Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff trails at 9.4%, gaining from bipartisan appeal in the battleground state ahead of his 2026 re-election, while Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez holds 8.0% on progressive enthusiasm and hypothetical general election polls showing strength against VP JD Vance—though pragmatists mobilize to curb her rise. Diverging from some polling averages favoring Kamala Harris, markets reflect skin-in-the-game skepticism of prior leadership; consolidation could hinge on midterm outcomes, fundraising edges, and endorsements from swing-state victories.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$981,024,450
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 44+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Gavin Newsom" con 24%, seguido de "Jon Ossoff" con 9%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 24¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" ha generado $981 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028", explora los 44+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" es "Gavin Newsom" con 24%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Jon Ossoff" con 9%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.