Skip to main content
Market icon
Mundo·Elecciones Globales

Chile Presidential Election Margin of Victory: First Round

Market icon
Mundo·Elecciones Globales

Chile Presidential Election Margin of Victory: First Round

Jara 0-3% 100.0%

Jara 15%+ <1%

Jara 12-15% <1%

Jara 9-12% <1%

Polymarket

$160,609 Vol.

Jara 0-3% 100.0%

Jara 15%+ <1%

Jara 12-15% <1%

Jara 9-12% <1%

Polymarket

$160,609 Vol.

Jara 15%+

$13,889 Vol.

No

Jara 12-15%

$6,105 Vol.

No

Jara 9-12%

$5,034 Vol.

No

Jara 6-9%

$8,095 Vol.

No

Jara 3-6%

$27,824 Vol.

No

Jara 0-3%

$33,473 Vol.

Yes

Kast 0-3%

$12,598 Vol.

No

Kast 3-6%

$33,685 Vol.

No

Kast 6-9%

$5,230 Vol.

No

Kast 9%+

$5,184 Vol.

No

Other

$9,492 Vol.

No

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Chile on November 16, 2025. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2025 Chilean Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first and second-place candidates. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the Chilean Presidential Election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Chilean Government, specifically the Chilean Electoral Service (Servicio Electoral de Chile, Servel) (https://www.servel.cl/).

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Chile on November 16, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2025 Chilean Presidential Election.

For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first and second-place candidates. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the Chilean Presidential Election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Chilean Government, specifically the Chilean Electoral Service (Servicio Electoral de Chile, Servel) (https://www.servel.cl/).
Volumen
$160,609
Fecha de finalización
16 nov 2025
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 5:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Chile on November 16, 2025. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2025 Chilean Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first and second-place candidates. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the Chilean Presidential Election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Chilean Government, specifically the Chilean Electoral Service (Servicio Electoral de Chile, Servel) (https://www.servel.cl/).

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Chile on November 16, 2025. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2025 Chilean Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first and second-place candidates. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the Chilean Presidential Election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Chilean Government, specifically the Chilean Electoral Service (Servicio Electoral de Chile, Servel) (https://www.servel.cl/).

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Chile on November 16, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2025 Chilean Presidential Election.

For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first and second-place candidates. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the Chilean Presidential Election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Chilean Government, specifically the Chilean Electoral Service (Servicio Electoral de Chile, Servel) (https://www.servel.cl/).
Volumen
$160,609
Fecha de finalización
16 nov 2025
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 5:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Chile on November 16, 2025. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2025 Chilean Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first and second-place candidates. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the Chilean Presidential Election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Chilean Government, specifically the Chilean Electoral Service (Servicio Electoral de Chile, Servel) (https://www.servel.cl/).

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Chile Presidential Election Margin of Victory: First Round" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Jara 0-3%" con 100%, seguido de "Jara 15%+" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Chile Presidential Election Margin of Victory: First Round" ha generado $160.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 5, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Chile Presidential Election Margin of Victory: First Round", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Chile Presidential Election Margin of Victory: First Round" es "Jara 0-3%" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Jara 15%+" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Chile Presidential Election Margin of Victory: First Round" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.